Nantes vs Auxerre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.69
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
414
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
78% (271/346)84% (366/438)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.430.53
Total shots
414
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
03
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
19
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
625
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
78% (271/346)84% (366/438)
Long passes
35% (15/43)54% (33/61)
Passes in final third
40% (21/53)66% (86/130)
Crosses
0% (0/10)24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.060.76
Throw-ins
1128
Fouls
1311
Tackles
80% (12/15)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4845
Clearances
4323
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.530.43
Goals prevented
0.53-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Mostafa Mohamed , Guirassy B. (A),
  • 43', Awaziem C. 🟨,
  • 43', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Danois K. 🟨,
  • 65', Hong Hyun-Seok , Leroux L. ,
  • 72', Guirassy B. , Abline M. ,
  • 72', Coquelin F. , Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ,
  • 72', Casimir J. , Coulibaly L. ,
  • 73', Sierralta F. , El Azzouzi O. ,
  • 73', Osman I. , Oppegard F. ,
  • 84', Mensah G. , Bair T. ,
  • 87', Benhattab Y. , Tabibou D. ,
  • 87', Mostafa Mohamed , Camara A. ,
  • 88', El Azzouzi O. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Owusu E. , Matondo R. ,

Chances of winning


Nantes
40.9%
Draw
29.2%
Auxerre
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 27% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 27.7% 29.2%

Nantes - Auxerre Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.35
(2.14)
3.32
(3.53)
3.34
(3.35)
2.7%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nantes - Auxerre?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Auxerre will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 19.2%59%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 2 - 50%). Auxerre (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2.
    • Nantes is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Auxerre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M. (Injury) Lahdo M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Diomande S. (Thigh Injury) Leon D. (Red Card) Siwe T. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Auxerre were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Auxerre - Nantes 1:1
    25.08.2024 Nantes - Auxerre 2:0
    16.04.2023 Auxerre - Nantes 2:1
    01.01.2023 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0
    09.08.2025 Nantes - Paris FC 2:3
    02.08.2025 Angers - Nantes 1:0
    26.07.2025 Nantes - Rennes 1:3
    Latest results of Auxerre
    23.08.2025 Nice - Auxerre 3:1
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0
    09.08.2025 Auxerre - Levante 0:2
    02.08.2025 Auxerre - Ipswich Town 0:3
    30.07.2025 Grenoble - Auxerre 0:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

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