Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 33
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 9 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (564/634) | 83% (329/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (564/634) | 83% (329/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (33/54) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (110/142) | 65% (56/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Perrin G. ⚽, Sinayoko L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Zeze N. 🟨,
- 60', Coquelin F. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 60', Centonze F. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Leroux L. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
- 71', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
- 71', Traore H. J. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
- 72', Owusu E. ↓, Aye F. ↑,
- 79', Hoever K. ↓, Joly P. ↑,
- 80', Jubal Junior 🟨,
- 84', Pallois N. ↓, Amian K. ↑,
- 88', Sinayoko L. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
- 88', Diomande S. 🟨,
- 89', Perrin G. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
- 90+2', Simon M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 90+2', Thomas S. ↓, Coco M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Auxerre
33.8% | Draw
28.9% | Nantes
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auxerre's form might have worsened.Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Auxerre - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.36) |
3.29 ↓
(3.43) |
2.55 ↓
(2.98) |
5.1%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
63 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 6 - 9.5%). Nantes will win (votes: 47 - 74.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 63.9% – 85.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nantes will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Knee Injury)
Danois K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nantes: Cozza N.
(Yellow Cards)
Doucoure S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mahamoud A.
(Knee Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Auxerre: Owusu E.
(Injury)
Traore H. J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Nantes?
Auxerre has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Auxerre?
Nantes has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Nantes were as follows:
25.08.2024
Nantes
-
Auxerre
2:0
16.04.2023
Auxerre
-
Nantes
2:1
01.01.2023
Nantes
-
Auxerre
1:0
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
