Auxerre vs Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Auxerre - Nantes
Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.77
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
89% (564/634)83% (329/397)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.77
Total shots
97
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
198
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
89% (564/634)83% (329/397)
Long passes
61% (33/54)39% (18/46)
Passes in final third
77% (110/142)65% (56/86)
Crosses
32% (7/22)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.75
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
1516
Tackles
69% (11/16)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4450
Clearances
2625
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.770.61
Goals prevented
-0.23-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Perrin G. , Sinayoko L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Zeze N. 🟨,
  • 60', Coquelin F. , Mostafa Mohamed ,
  • 60', Centonze F. , Leroux L. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Leroux L. , Thomas S. (A),
  • 71', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
  • 71', Traore H. J. , Diousse A. ,
  • 72', Owusu E. , Aye F. ,
  • 79', Hoever K. , Joly P. ,
  • 80', Jubal Junior 🟨,
  • 84', Pallois N. , Amian K. ,
  • 88', Sinayoko L. , Bair T. ,
  • 88', Diomande S. 🟨,
  • 89', Perrin G. , Onaiwu A. ,
  • 90+2', Simon M. , Guirassy B. ,
  • 90+2', Thomas S. , Coco M. ,

Chances of winning


Auxerre
33.8%
Draw
28.9%
Nantes
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 27.7% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 27.4% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auxerre's form might have worsened.
  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Auxerre - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.36)
    3.29
    (3.43)
    2.55
    (2.98)
    5.1%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Auxerre - Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 6 - 9.5%). Nantes will win (votes: 47 - 74.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 63.9%85.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nantes will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Knee Injury) Danois K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Nantes: Cozza N. (Yellow Cards) Doucoure S. (Shoulder Injury) Mahamoud A. (Knee Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Auxerre: Owusu E. (Injury) Traore H. J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Nantes were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Nantes - Auxerre 2:0
    16.04.2023 Auxerre - Nantes 2:1
    01.01.2023 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0
    Latest results of Auxerre
    04.05.2025 Auxerre - Le Havre 1:2
    27.04.2025 Lens - Auxerre 0:4
    20.04.2025 Lille - Auxerre 3:1
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3
    06.04.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 0:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    04.05.2025 Nantes - Angers 0:1
    27.04.2025 Nantes - Toulouse 0:0
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1
    04.04.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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