Result
2:1
26/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (391/462) | 72% (186/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (391/462) | 72% (186/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (80/115) | 55% (53/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 38% (9/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 76% (19/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', Cozza N. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Ganago I. ⚽, Cozza N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Machado D. 🟨,
- 68', Seidu A. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
- 68', Blas L. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
- 68', Kaba M. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
- 68', Leroux L. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 73', Ait Boudlal A. 🟨,
- 77', Guilbert F. ↓, Acapandie M. ↑,
- 81', Embolo B. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
- 87', Ganago I. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 87', Abline M. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
- 88', Rongier V. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tamari M. ↓, Mukiele N. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Rongier V. ⚽,
- 90+6', Szymanski S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rennes
64.3% | Draw
20.9% | Nantes
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)The ML Model estimate for Nantes aligns with the current prediction.
Rennes - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.49) |
4.56 ↑
(4.45) |
6.42 ↑
(6.15) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rennes - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 36 - 83.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 72.7% – 94.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Nantes (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rennes will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 3.
- Rennes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nantes's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rennes is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Rosier L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nantes: Amian K.
(Injury)
Centonze F.
(Injury)
Coquelin F.
(Thigh Injury)
Tati T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Rennes: Frankowski P.
(Injury)
Nordin A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Mirbach A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Nantes?
Rennes has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Rennes?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Nantes were as follows:
20.09.2025
Nantes
-
Rennes
2:2
26.07.2025
Nantes
-
Rennes
1:3
18.04.2025
Rennes
-
Nantes
2:1
08.12.2024
Nantes
-
Rennes
1:0
20.04.2024
Nantes
-
Rennes
0:3
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
