Nantes vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:2
06/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.172.39
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
75% (213/284)86% (461/533)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.172.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.89
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
517
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
1535
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
138
Passes
75% (213/284)86% (461/533)
Long passes
48% (30/62)55% (22/40)
Passes in final third
53% (38/72)79% (121/154)
Crosses
0% (0/11)26% (9/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.45
Throw-ins
1825
Fouls
813
Tackles
75% (15/20)54% (14/26)
Duels won
5960
Clearances
3615
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.891.17
Goals prevented
-0.110.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Thauvin F. ⚽, Aguilar R. (A),
  • 38', El Arabi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 38', 1 - 1, El Arabi Y. ⚽,
  • 45', Guirassy B. ↓, Lahdo M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', El Arabi Y. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
  • 60', Deuff B. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
  • 69', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
  • 81', 1 - 2, Said W. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
  • 83', Tabibou D. 🟨,
  • 87', Cozza N. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
  • 88', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Camara A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Said W. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/pjb4uaby

Chances of winning


Nantes
19.1%		Draw
24.5%		Lens
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.9% 23.5% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3% 22.8% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
    •

    Nantes - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.99 ↑
    (4.75)    		 3.88 ↓
    (4.02)    		 1.69 ↑
    (1.67)    		 4.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nantes - Lens?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Lens (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Lens (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Nantes (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lens will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Lens (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2.
    • Nantes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lens is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Lens is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Leroux L. (Thigh Injury) Mwanga J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lens: Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Guilavogui M. (Red Card) Jhoanner Chavez (Thigh Injury) Thomasson A. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lens were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Nantes - Lens 3:1
    09.11.2024 Lens - Nantes 3:2
    03.02.2024 Nantes - Lens 0:1
    28.10.2023 Lens - Nantes 4:0
    01.03.2023 Nantes - Lens 2:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    30.11.2025 Lyon - Nantes 3:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Nantes - Lorient 1:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Nantes - Metz 0:2 ✺
    29.10.2025 Nantes - Monaco 3:5 ✺
    Latest results of Lens
    30.11.2025 Angers - Lens 1:2 ✺
    22.11.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 1:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Monaco - Lens 1:4 ✺
    02.11.2025 Lens - Lorient 3:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Metz - Lens 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG26193458:223660
    2Lens27192654:243059
    3Marseille27154854:351949
    4Lyon27145841:291247
    5Lille27145842:34847
    6Monaco27144947:38946
    7Rennes27128743:37644
    8Strasbourg27117943:331040
    9Toulouse271071038:32637
    10Lorient27910837:41-437
    11Brest271061134:39-536
    12Angers27951324:37-1332
    13Paris FC277101032:43-1131
    14Le Havre27691222:35-1327
    15Nice27761432:52-2027
    16Auxerre27571522:36-1422
    17Nantes26451724:45-2117
    18Metz27351925:60-3514

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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