Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.32 | 1.46 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
83% (338/406) | 86% (427/497) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.32 | 1.46 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.40 | 1.17 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
40 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
83% (338/406) | 86% (427/497) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (22/46) | 49% (26/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (73/112) | 71% (48/68) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (6/21) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.26 | 0.86 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 28 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
43% (6/14) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.17 | 1.40 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.83 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Lahdo M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Camara A. ↓, Benhattab Y. ↑,
- 46', Emersonn ↓, Gboho Y. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Gboho Y. ⚽, Donnum A. (A),
- 58', Donnum A. 🟨,
- 58', Lopes A. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Leroux L. ⚽, Lepenant J. (A),
- 62', Francis A. ↓, Casseres C. ↑,
- 66', Amian K. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 2, Donnum A. (Pen),
- 73', Cresswell C. 🟨,
- 73', Lahdo M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 73', Tabibou D. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 76', Kamanzi W. ↓, Methalie D. ↑,
- 81', Leroux L. 🟨,
- 84', Lepenant J. ↓, Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↑,
- 86', Sidibe D. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 89', Abline M. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toulouse 54.3% | Draw 27.3% | Nantes 18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Toulouse - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.77) |
3.49 ↓ (3.6) |
5.22 ↑ (4.69) |
3.8% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
- In recent matches, Toulouse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nantes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Toulouse is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Messali R.
(Injury)
Vossah A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Toulouse: Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Nantes?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Toulouse?
Nantes has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Nantes were as follows:
27.04.2025
Nantes
-
Toulouse
0:0
18.08.2024
Toulouse
-
Nantes
0:0
11.02.2024
Toulouse
-
Nantes
1:2
13.08.2023
Nantes
-
Toulouse
1:2
14.05.2023
Toulouse
-
Nantes
0:0
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | PSG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Lyon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 12 |
4 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 12 |
5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
6 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Lens | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Paris FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
14 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
15 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
17 | Angers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
18 | Metz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2