Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (338/406) | 86% (427/497) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (338/406) | 86% (427/497) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (22/46) | 49% (26/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (73/112) | 71% (48/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Lahdo M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Camara A. ↓, Benhattab Y. ↑,
- 46', Emersonn ↓, Gboho Y. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Gboho Y. ⚽, Donnum A. (A),
- 58', Donnum A. 🟨,
- 58', Lopes A. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Leroux L. ⚽, Lepenant J. (A),
- 62', Francis A. ↓, Casseres C. ↑,
- 66', Amian K. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 2, Donnum A. (Pen),
- 73', Cresswell C. 🟨,
- 73', Lahdo M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 73', Tabibou D. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 76', Kamanzi W. ↓, Methalie D. ↑,
- 81', Leroux L. 🟨,
- 84', Lepenant J. ↓, Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↑,
- 86', Sidibe D. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 89', Abline M. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toulouse
54.3% | Draw
27.3% | Nantes
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Toulouse - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.77) |
3.49 ↓
(3.6) |
5.22 ↑
(4.69) |
3.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 44.1% – 94.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Toulouse (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Nantes (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
- In recent matches, Toulouse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nantes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Toulouse is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Messali R.
(Injury)
Vossah A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Toulouse: Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Nantes?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Toulouse?
Nantes has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Nantes were as follows:
27.04.2025
Nantes
-
Toulouse
0:0
18.08.2024
Toulouse
-
Nantes
0:0
11.02.2024
Toulouse
-
Nantes
1:2
13.08.2023
Nantes
-
Toulouse
1:2
14.05.2023
Toulouse
-
Nantes
0:0
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
