Result
0:0
27/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 4, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (463/517) | 77% (274/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (463/517) | 77% (274/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (17/36) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (128/151) | 62% (55/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Canvot J. 🟨,
- 26', Douglas Augusto 🟨,
- 38', Edjouma N. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Douglas Augusto ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 64', Martinez C. 🟨,
- 66', Simon M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 66', Pallois N. ↓, Kadewere T. ↑,
- 75', King J. ↓, Gboho Y. ↑,
- 77', Amian K. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
- 77', Abline M. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
- 80', Cozza N. 🟨,
- 80', Donnum A. 🟨,
- 82', Magri F. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
- 90+2', Cresswell C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nantes
33.7% | Draw
30.1% | Toulouse
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nantes - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↓
(3.19) |
3.17 ↓
(3.31) |
2.62 ↑
(2.31) |
4.8%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nantes - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Toulouse will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 21.7% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Toulouse (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 1.
- Recent matches Nantes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Toulouse has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Nantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Doucoure S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mahamoud A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z.
(Injury)
Nicolaisen R.
(Calf Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Lopes A.
(Thigh Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nantes won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:18 (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Toulouse?
Nantes has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Nantes?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Toulouse were as follows:
18.08.2024
Toulouse
-
Nantes
0:0
11.02.2024
Toulouse
-
Nantes
1:2
13.08.2023
Nantes
-
Toulouse
1:2
14.05.2023
Toulouse
-
Nantes
0:0
28.08.2022
Nantes
-
Toulouse
3:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
