Nantes vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Nantes - Toulouse
Result
0:0
27/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 4, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.36
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
90% (463/517)77% (274/355)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.12
Total shots
116
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
90% (463/517)77% (274/355)
Long passes
47% (17/36)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
85% (128/151)62% (55/89)
Crosses
36% (10/28)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.62
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
1311
Tackles
56% (9/16)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5139
Clearances
3020
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.120.34
Goals prevented
0.120.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Canvot J. 🟨,
  • 26', Douglas Augusto 🟨,
  • 38', Edjouma N. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Douglas Augusto ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
  • 64', Martinez C. 🟨,
  • 66', Simon M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
  • 66', Pallois N. ↓, Kadewere T. ↑,
  • 75', King J. ↓, Gboho Y. ↑,
  • 77', Amian K. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
  • 77', Abline M. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
  • 80', Cozza N. 🟨,
  • 80', Donnum A. 🟨,
  • 82', Magri F. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
  • 90+2', Cresswell C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nantes
33.7%		Draw
30.1%		Toulouse
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 28.8% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 28.5% 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Nantes - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.85 ↓
    (3.19)    		 3.17 ↓
    (3.31)    		 2.62 ↑
    (2.31)    		 4.8%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Nantes - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Toulouse will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 21.7% – 64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Toulouse (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 1.
    • Recent matches Nantes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Toulouse has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Nantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Doucoure S. (Shoulder Injury) Mahamoud A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z. (Injury) Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nantes: Lopes A. (Thigh Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nantes won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:18 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Toulouse were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Toulouse - Nantes 0:0
    11.02.2024 Toulouse - Nantes 1:2
    13.08.2023 Nantes - Toulouse 1:2
    14.05.2023 Toulouse - Nantes 0:0
    28.08.2022 Nantes - Toulouse 3:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    22.04.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1 ✺
    04.04.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:2 ✺
    30.03.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 3:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Toulouse
    20.04.2025 Reims - Toulouse 1:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Toulouse - Lille 1:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 3:2 ✺
    30.03.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:4 ✺
    07.03.2025 Toulouse - Monaco 1:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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