Toulouse vs Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Nantes
Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.321.46
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
83% (338/406)86% (427/497)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.321.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.401.17
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
4018
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
83% (338/406)86% (427/497)
Long passes
48% (22/46)49% (26/53)
Passes in final third
65% (73/112)71% (48/68)
Crosses
29% (6/21)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.86
Throw-ins
928
Fouls
1812
Tackles
43% (6/14)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
1.171.40
Goals prevented
-0.83-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Lahdo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Camara A. , Benhattab Y. ,
  • 46', Emersonn , Gboho Y. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Gboho Y. , Donnum A. (A),
  • 58', Donnum A. 🟨,
  • 58', Lopes A. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Leroux L. , Lepenant J. (A),
  • 62', Francis A. , Casseres C. ,
  • 66', Amian K. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Donnum A. (Pen),
  • 73', Cresswell C. 🟨,
  • 73', Lahdo M. , Guirassy B. ,
  • 73', Tabibou D. , Hong Hyun-Seok ,
  • 76', Kamanzi W. , Methalie D. ,
  • 81', Leroux L. 🟨,
  • 84', Lepenant J. , Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ,
  • 86', Sidibe D. , Edjouma N. ,
  • 89', Abline M. , El Arabi Y. ,

Chances of winning


Toulouse
54.3%
Draw
27.3%
Nantes
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.3% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 26.2% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Toulouse - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.77)
    3.49
    (3.6)
    5.22
    (4.69)
    3.8%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Toulouse - Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Nantes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • In recent matches, Toulouse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nantes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Toulouse is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Messali R. (Injury) Vossah A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Nantes were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Nantes - Toulouse 0:0
    18.08.2024 Toulouse - Nantes 0:0
    11.02.2024 Toulouse - Nantes 1:2
    13.08.2023 Nantes - Toulouse 1:2
    14.05.2023 Toulouse - Nantes 0:0
    Latest results of Toulouse
    21.09.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 1:0
    14.09.2025 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    24.08.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:0
    16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    20.09.2025 Nantes - Rennes 2:2
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    30.08.2025 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG650112:4815
    2Lyon65018:3515
    3Marseille640212:5712
    4Monaco640214:10412
    5Strasbourg64029:7212
    6Lille631213:9410
    7Lens63128:5310
    8Rennes62317:8-19
    9Brest621311:1107
    10Toulouse62139:11-27
    11Paris FC621310:13-37
    12Nice62137:10-37
    13Lorient62139:14-57
    14Auxerre62044:8-46
    15Le Havre61236:8-25
    16Nantes61235:7-25
    17Angers61233:6-35
    18Metz60245:13-82

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2