Shenzhen vs Nantong Haimen Codion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.53
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
79% (327/414)73% (206/281)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.712.15
Total shots
910
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1623
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
126
Passes
79% (327/414)73% (206/281)
Long passes
45% (32/71)56% (42/75)
Passes in final third
56% (65/117)48% (32/67)
Crosses
35% (7/20)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.72
Throw-ins
2512
Fouls
612
Tackles
86% (6/7)73% (11/15)
Duels won
2431
Clearances
1513
Interceptions
24
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.150.71
Goals prevented
0.15-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Wang Zhiyuan , Shi Z. (A),
  • 33', Zhou Zifan , Ding Jianhua ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Wang Zhiyuan , Jiang W. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Wang Bowen ,
  • 61', Chen W. , Chen Z. ,
  • 61', Wang Ziyang , Li L. ,
  • 66', Wang Bowen , Xu Yuese ,
  • 70', Shi Z. , Hai J. ,
  • 70', Huang Z. , Deng Z. ,
  • 73', Zheng Lei , Sun Qinan ,
  • 73', Dai Yuanji , Tan Jingbo ,
  • 83', Ruoke Xiang , Hu H. ,
  • 87', Pei Guoguang , Yang Mingtao ,
  • 90+6', Sun Qinan 🟨,
  • 90+8', 1 - 2, Cheng Yi ,

Chances of winning


Shenzhen
51.9%
Draw
27.2%
Nantong Haimen Codion
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 28.2% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 27.8% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen's performance.
  • Nantong Haimen Codion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nantong Haimen Codion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantong Haimen Codion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shenzhen - Nantong Haimen Codion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.04)
    3.4
    (3.21)
    4.41
    (3.28)
    8.3%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Shenzhen - Nantong Haimen Codion?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Nantong Haimen (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shenzhen will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shenzhen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nantong Haimen (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Nantong Haimen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Shenzhen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen - Nantong Haimen Codion were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Nantong Haimen Codion - Shenzhen 2:0
    25.06.2023 Nantong Haimen Codion - Shenzhen 2:1
    Latest results of Shenzhen
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B11006:153
    2Taian Tiankuang11003:123
    3Lanzhou Longyuan11001:013
    4Qingdao Red Lions10101:101
    5Changchun Xidu10101:101
    6Nantong Haimen10100:001
    7Shanxi Chongde Ronghai10100:001
    8Dalian Yingbo B10100:001
    9Dalian Kewei10100:001
    10Beijing Technology10010:1-10
    11Shandong Taishan B10011:3-20
    12Shanghai Second10011:6-50


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xiamen Feilu11002:023
    2Hubei Istar11001:013
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B11001:013
    4Jiangxi Lushan10102:201
    5Hangzhou Linping10102:201
    6Shenzhen10101:101
    7Wuhan Three Towns B10101:101
    8Ganzhou Ruishi10100:001
    9Guangdong Mingtu10100:001
    10Wenzhou Professional10010:1-10
    11Guangzhou Dandelion10010:1-10
    12Guizhou Guiyang10010:2-20

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