Napoli vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
03/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coppa Italia - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaParamount+
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDirecTV Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkSport Live
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hungaryHungaryArena 4
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItaly20 Mediaset, Infinity+, Italia 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenSport Bladet Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.69
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
90% (548/609)83% (306/369)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.920.80
Total shots
117
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
139
Passes
90% (548/609)83% (306/369)
Long passes
59% (19/32)59% (23/39)
Passes in final third
74% (95/128)70% (54/77)
Crosses
11% (3/27)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.28
Throw-ins
279
Fouls
913
Tackles
44% (7/16)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4344
Clearances
1132
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.801.92
Goals prevented
-0.200.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Luperto S. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Lucca L. , Vergara A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Pavoletti L. , Borrelli G. ,
  • 55', Kilicsoy S. , Prati M. ,
  • 55', Gaetano G. , Esposito Se. ,
  • 60', Ambrosino G. , McTominay S. ,
  • 61', Rodriguez J. , Idrissi R. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Esposito Se. ,
  • 68', Lucca L. , Hojlund R. ,
  • 68', Mazzocchi P. , Buongiorno A. ,
  • 74', Olivera M. , Lang N. ,
  • 74', Vergara A. , David Neres ,
  • 80', Prati M. 🟨,
  • 85', Deiola A. , Felici M. ,
  • Penalties (9 - 8)
  • 1, Obert A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Politano M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Borrelli G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, McTominay S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Prati M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Lang N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Felici M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Hojlund R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Esposito Se. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, David Neres (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Luperto S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Elmas E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Adopo M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Milinkovic-Savic V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Idrissi R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Spinazzola L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 9, Di Pardo A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 9, Juan Jesus (Penalty Awarded),
  • 10, Luvumbo Z. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 10, Buongiorno A. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Napoli
66.3%
Draw
21.8%
Cagliari
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 21.5% 11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 20.4% 10.7%

Napoli - Cagliari Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.43
(1.41)
4.36
(4.39)
8.01
(8.34)
5.4%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napoli - Cagliari?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 28 - 90.3%). Cagliari will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 79.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 4.
    • Napoli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cagliari is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cagliari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Pedro J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cagliari: Mazzitelli L. (Muscle Injury) Mina Y. (Contusion)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 47:11. (average 2.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:8. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Cagliari were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 1:0
    23.05.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 2:0
    15.09.2024 Cagliari - Napoli 0:4
    25.02.2024 Cagliari - Napoli 1:1
    16.12.2023 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1
    Latest results of Napoli
    30.11.2025 Roma - Napoli 0:1
    25.11.2025 Napoli - Qarabağ Agdam 2:0
    22.11.2025 Napoli - Atalanta 3:1
    09.11.2025 Bologna - Napoli 2:0
    Latest results of Cagliari
    29.11.2025 Juventus - Cagliari 2:1
    22.11.2025 Cagliari - Genoa 3:3
    08.11.2025 Como - Cagliari 0:0
    03.11.2025 Lazio - Cagliari 2:0
    30.10.2025 Cagliari - Sassuolo 1:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1BolognaBye
    5ParmaBye
    6PescaraRimini1 : 0
    7SpeziaBye
    8ByeSampdoria
    9LazioBye
    13AC MilanBye
    14ByeBari
    15LecceBye
    16ByeJuve Stabia
    17AtalantaBye
    21EmpoliBye
    22ByeReggiana
    23GenoaBye
    24PadovaL.R. Vicenza0 : 2
    25JuventusBye
    29UdineseBye
    30ByeCarrarese
    31CremoneseBye
    32ByePalermo
    33InterBye
    37Audace CerignolaAvellino1 : 0
    38VeronaBye
    39VeneziaBye
    40ByeMantova
    41AS RomaBye
    45TorinoBye
    46ByeModena
    47PisaBye
    48ByeCesena
    49NapoliBye
    53MonzaBye
    54ByeFrosinone
    55CagliariBye
    56EntellaTernana4 : 0
    57FiorentinaBye
    61ComoBye
    62ByeSudtirol
    63SassuoloBye
    64ByeCatanzaro

    1/32-finals
    1BolognaBye
    3ParmaPescara2 : 0
    4SpeziaSampdoria2 : 1
    5LazioBye
    7AC MilanBari2 : 0
    8LecceJuve Stabia2 : 0
    9AtalantaBye
    11EmpoliReggiana2 : 1
    12GenoaL.R. Vicenza3 : 0
    13JuventusBye
    15UdineseCarrarese2 : 0
    16CremonesePalermo0 : 1
    17InterBye
    19Audace CerignolaVerona1 : 2
    20VeneziaMantova4 : 0
    21AS RomaBye
    23TorinoModena1 : 0
    24PisaCesena1 : 0
    25NapoliBye
    27MonzaFrosinone0 : 1
    28CagliariEntella2 : 1
    29FiorentinaBye
    31ComoSudtirol3 : 1
    32SassuoloCatanzaro1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1BolognaBye
    2ParmaSpezia3 : 2
    3LazioBye
    4AC MilanLecce3 : 0
    5AtalantaBye
    6EmpoliGenoa1 : 3
    7JuventusBye
    8UdinesePalermo2 : 1
    9InterBye
    10VeronaVenezia0 : 1
    11AS RomaBye
    12TorinoPisa1 : 0
    13NapoliBye
    14FrosinoneCagliari1 : 4
    15FiorentinaBye
    16ComoSassuolo3 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1BolognaParma2 : 1
    2LazioAC Milan1 : 0
    3AtalantaGenoa4 : 0
    4JuventusUdinese2 : 0
    5InterVenezia5 : 1
    6AS RomaTorino
    7NapoliCagliari2 : 1
    8FiorentinaComo

    Quarter-finals
    1BolognaLazio
    2AtalantaJuventus
    3InterTBD #6
    4NapoliTBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2