Result
2:1 penalties
03/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2 |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
Asia | MBC Action |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | Sport Live |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | 20 Mediaset, Infinity+, Italia 1 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1 |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
Turkey | TRT Spor |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (548/609) | 83% (306/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (548/609) | 83% (306/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (19/32) | 59% (23/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (95/128) | 70% (54/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/27) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Luperto S. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Lucca L. ⚽, Vergara A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Pavoletti L. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
- 55', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Prati M. ↑,
- 55', Gaetano G. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
- 60', Ambrosino G. ↓, McTominay S. ↑,
- 61', Rodriguez J. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Esposito Se. ⚽,
- 68', Lucca L. ↓, Hojlund R. ↑,
- 68', Mazzocchi P. ↓, Buongiorno A. ↑,
- 74', Olivera M. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
- 74', Vergara A. ↓, David Neres ↑,
- 80', Prati M. 🟨,
- 85', Deiola A. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
- Penalties (9 - 8)
- 1, Obert A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Politano M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Borrelli G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, McTominay S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Prati M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Lang N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Felici M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Hojlund R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Esposito Se. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, David Neres (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Luperto S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Elmas E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Adopo M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Milinkovic-Savic V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Idrissi R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Spinazzola L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, Di Pardo A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, Juan Jesus (Penalty Awarded),
- 10, Luvumbo Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10, Buongiorno A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Napoli 66.3% | Draw 21.8% | Cagliari 11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Napoli - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.43 ↑ (1.41) |
4.36 ↓ (4.39) |
8.01 ↓ (8.34) |
5.4% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napoli - Cagliari?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 28 - 90.3%). Cagliari will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 79.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 4.
- Napoli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cagliari is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Cagliari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F.
(Thigh Injury)
De Bruyne K.
(Thigh Injury)
Gilmour B.
(Groin Injury)
Gutierrez M.
(Ankle Injury)
Lukaku R.
(Thigh Injury)
Meret A.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A.
(Knee Injury)
Pedro J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cagliari: Mazzitelli L.
(Muscle Injury)
Mina Y.
(Contusion)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 47:11. (average 2.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:8. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Cagliari?
Napoli has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Napoli?
Cagliari has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Cagliari were as follows:
30.08.2025
Napoli
-
Cagliari
1:0
23.05.2025
Napoli
-
Cagliari
2:0
15.09.2024
Cagliari
-
Napoli
0:4
25.02.2024
Cagliari
-
Napoli
1:1
16.12.2023
Napoli
-
Cagliari
2:1
Latest results of Cagliari
Draw
2025/261/64-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 5 | Parma | Bye | |
| 6 | Pescara | Rimini | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Spezia | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Sampdoria | |
| 9 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 13 | AC Milan | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Bari | |
| 15 | Lecce | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Juve Stabia | |
| 17 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 21 | Empoli | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Reggiana | |
| 23 | Genoa | Bye | |
| 24 | Padova | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 29 | Udinese | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Carrarese | |
| 31 | Cremonese | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Palermo | |
| 33 | Inter | Bye | |
| 37 | Audace Cerignola | Avellino | 1 : 0 |
| 38 | Verona | Bye | |
| 39 | Venezia | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Mantova | |
| 41 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 45 | Torino | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Modena | |
| 47 | Pisa | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Cesena | |
| 49 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 53 | Monza | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Frosinone | |
| 55 | Cagliari | Bye | |
| 56 | Entella | Ternana | 4 : 0 |
| 57 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 61 | Como | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Sudtirol | |
| 63 | Sassuolo | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Catanzaro | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 3 | Parma | Pescara | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Spezia | Sampdoria | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 7 | AC Milan | Bari | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Lecce | Juve Stabia | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 11 | Empoli | Reggiana | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Genoa | L.R. Vicenza | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 15 | Udinese | Carrarese | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Cremonese | Palermo | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Inter | Bye | |
| 19 | Audace Cerignola | Verona | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Venezia | Mantova | 4 : 0 |
| 21 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 23 | Torino | Modena | 1 : 0 |
| 24 | Pisa | Cesena | 1 : 0 |
| 25 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 27 | Monza | Frosinone | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Cagliari | Entella | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 31 | Como | Sudtirol | 3 : 1 |
| 32 | Sassuolo | Catanzaro | 1 : 0 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Bologna | Bye | |
| 2 | Parma | Spezia | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Lazio | Bye | |
| 4 | AC Milan | Lecce | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Atalanta | Bye | |
| 6 | Empoli | Genoa | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Juventus | Bye | |
| 8 | Udinese | Palermo | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Inter | Bye | |
| 10 | Verona | Venezia | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | AS Roma | Bye | |
| 12 | Torino | Pisa | 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Napoli | Bye | |
| 14 | Frosinone | Cagliari | 1 : 4 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
| 16 | Como | Sassuolo | 3 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Bologna | Parma | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lazio | AC Milan | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta | Genoa | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Juventus | Udinese | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Inter | Venezia | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | AS Roma | Torino | |
| 7 | Napoli | Cagliari | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | Como | |
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