Napoli vs Cagliari: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples).

: Serie A - Round 38
Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.27	0.08
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
91% (532/583)	82% (241/295)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27	0.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.59	0.17
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
4	0
Blocked Shots
8	3
Shots inside the Box
16	2
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
33	6
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
14	14
Passes
91% (532/583)	82% (241/295)
Long passes
58% (21/36)	32% (12/38)
Passes in final third
80% (90/113)	63% (35/56)
Crosses
19% (5/27)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.16
Throw-ins
16	10
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
78% (7/9)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
39	32
Clearances
16	27
Interceptions
2	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.17	2.59
Goals prevented
0.17	0.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Makoumbou A. 🟨,
31', Politano M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, McTominay S. ⚽, Politano M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Lukaku R. ⚽, Rrahmani A. (A),
52', Lukaku R. 🟨,
57', Zortea N. ↓, Palomino J. L. ↑,
57', Viola N. ↓, Mutandwa K. ↑,
57', Makoumbou A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
61', Politano M. ↓, David Neres ↑,
74', Augello T. ↓, Obert A. ↑,
76', Lukaku R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
82', Sherri A. ↓, Ciocci G. ↑,
85', Spinazzola L. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
85', Raspadori G. ↓, Billing P. ↑,
85', Anguissa F. ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Napoli
81.4%

Draw
12.9%

Cagliari
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.9%

18.3%

5.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.

The chances for Cagliari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Napoli - Cagliari Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.28)	7.53 ↑ (5.32)	16.92 ↑ (16.75)	4% (2.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Napoli - Cagliari?

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 44 - 86.3%). Cagliari will win (votes: 3 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 76.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 4 - 80%).

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Napoli is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3.
Napoli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cagliari's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Napoli is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Napoli: Juan Jesus (Thigh Injury) Lobotka S. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 47:12. (average 2.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Cagliari?

Napoli has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Napoli?

Cagliari has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Cagliari were as follows:

15.09.2024 Cagliari - Napoli 0:4

25.02.2024 Cagliari - Napoli 1:1

16.12.2023 Napoli - Cagliari 2:1

Latest results of Napoli

18.05.2025 Parma - Napoli 0:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Napoli - Torino 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Monza - Napoli 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Cagliari

18.05.2025 Cagliari - Venezia 3:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Como - Cagliari 3:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Cagliari - Udinese 1:2 ✺

28.04.2025 Verona - Cagliari 0:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Napoli - Cagliari?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Sports 3, Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Onefootball