Napoli vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
06/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Women - Round 8
  • Referee: Recchia A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.221.73
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
319
Shots on target
05
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
72% (258/358)74% (273/367)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.221.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.38
Total shots
319
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
210
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
711
Passes
72% (258/358)74% (273/367)
Long passes
40% (29/72)48% (45/93)
Passes in final third
52% (46/88)66% (76/116)
Crosses
9% (1/11)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.241.13
Throw-ins
2630
Fouls
117
Tackles
79% (15/19)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
2716
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.380.00
Goals prevented
-0.620.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Piga J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Cernoia V. , Park Soo-Jeong ,
  • 55', Pettenuzzo T. 🟨,
  • 58', Troan M. , Carcassi A. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Grimshaw C. ,
  • 71', Piga J. , Soffia A. ,
  • 71', Vanmechelen D. , Sciabica M. ,
  • 86', Giordano M. , Vischi F. ,
  • 90+2', Kyvag T. , Appiah K. ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, Appiah K. , Park Soo-Jeong (A),

Chances of winning


Napoli
30.2%
Draw
27.2%
Milan
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 25.7% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4% 25.2% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.
  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Napoli - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (4.07)
    3.36
    (3.61)
    2.14
    (1.8)
    9.6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Napoli - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Milan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Milan might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.6:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Milan were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Milan - Napoli 6:0
    06.10.2024 Napoli - Milan 0:1
    12.05.2024 Napoli - Milan 1:1
    14.04.2024 Milan - Napoli 3:2
    16.12.2023 Milan - Napoli 1:1
    Latest results of Napoli
    22.11.2025 Genoa - Napoli 1:3
    16.11.2025 Napoli - Inter Milan 1:0
    09.11.2025 Lazio - Napoli 1:0
    01.11.2025 Parma - Napoli 1:1
    19.10.2025 Napoli - Roma 1:3
    Latest results of Milan
    23.11.2025 Milan - Sassuolo 2:2
    15.11.2025 Como - Milan 1:0
    08.11.2025 Milan - Juventus 2:1
    01.11.2025 Milan - Lazio 4:2
    18.10.2025 Fiorentina - Milan 4:3
    Italian Serie A Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AS Roma W15113129:141536
    2Inter W1593333:151830
    3Juventus W1584322:101228
    4Napoli W1574421:17425
    5Lazio W1573521:17424
    6Fiorentina W1573523:22124
    7Como W1572617:16123
    8AC Milan W1563624:23121
    9Sassuolo W1533912:23-1112
    10Ternana W15321015:31-1611
    11Parma W151779:20-1110
    12Genoa W15211213:31-187

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Women