Result
0:1
19/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 33
- Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Go3 Sport Open Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Maldives | ICE Sports, Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.71 | 1.30 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
82% (287/351) | 89% (471/531) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.71 | 1.30 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 0.69 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 23 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
82% (287/351) | 89% (471/531) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (26/52) | 74% (39/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (42/70) | 73% (109/150) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (2/16) | 30% (6/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.17 | 1.11 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
42% (5/12) | 86% (6/7) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 45 |
Clearances Total |
---|
25 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.69 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.31 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Marin R. 🟨,
- 33', Mota D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gilmour B. ↓, Anguissa F. ↑,
- 54', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
- 64', Olivera M. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
- 67', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
- 70', Bianco A. 🟨,
- 72', 0 - 1, McTominay S. ⚽, Raspadori G. (A),
- 76', Birindelli S. ↓, Ganvoula S. ↑,
- 79', Lukaku R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
- 84', Bianco A. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
- 84', Castrovilli G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
- 85', Politano M. ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,
- 86', Caldirola L. 🟨,
- 90', Ngonge C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monza 8.7% | Draw 17.9% | Napoli 73.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Monza - Napoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
10.99 ↑ (9.3) |
5.36 ↑ (4.83) |
1.3 ↓ (1.38) |
4.9% (4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monza - Napoli?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). Napoli will win (votes: 33 - 86.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 76% – 97.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Monza (votes: 5 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Monza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Napoli is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Napoli is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: D'Ambrosio D.
(Ankle Injury)
Pessina M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A.
(Groin Injury)
Juan Jesus
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Monza: Balde K.
(Thigh Injury)
Carboni A.
(Inactive)
Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
Izzo A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Napoli: Contini N.
(Inactive)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.8:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Napoli?
Monza has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Monza?
Napoli has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Napoli were as follows:
29.09.2024
Napoli
-
Monza
2:0
07.04.2024
Monza
-
Napoli
2:4
29.12.2023
Napoli
-
Monza
0:0
14.05.2023
Monza
-
Napoli
2:0
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B