Monza vs Napoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Monza - Napoli
Result
0:1
19/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 33
  • Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
Monza - Napoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.30
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
05
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
82% (287/351)89% (471/531)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.69
Total shots
816
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1023
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
82% (287/351)89% (471/531)
Long passes
50% (26/52)74% (39/53)
Passes in final third
60% (42/70)73% (109/150)
Crosses
13% (2/16)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.171.11
Fouls
1811
Tackles
42% (5/12)86% (6/7)
Duels won
3445
Clearances Total
2525
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
0.690.00
Goals prevented
-0.310.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 33', Mota D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gilmour B. ↓, Anguissa F. ↑,
  • 54', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
  • 64', Olivera M. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
  • 67', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
  • 70', Bianco A. 🟨,
  • 72', 0 - 1, McTominay S. ⚽, Raspadori G. (A),
  • 76', Birindelli S. ↓, Ganvoula S. ↑,
  • 79', Lukaku R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
  • 84', Bianco A. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
  • 84', Castrovilli G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
  • 85', Politano M. ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,
  • 86', Caldirola L. 🟨,
  • 90', Ngonge C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monza
8.7%		Draw
17.9%		Napoli
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 19.9% 69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10% 19.3% 71.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
    •

    Monza - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 10.99 ↑
    (9.3)    		 5.36 ↑
    (4.83)    		 1.3 ↓
    (1.38)    		 4.9%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Monza - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). Napoli will win (votes: 33 - 86.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 76% – 97.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Monza (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Monza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Napoli is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Napoli is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Monza: D'Ambrosio D. (Ankle Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Groin Injury) Juan Jesus (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monza: Balde K. (Thigh Injury) Carboni A. (Inactive) Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Izzo A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Contini N. (Inactive)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Napoli were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Napoli - Monza 2:0
    07.04.2024 Monza - Napoli 2:4
    29.12.2023 Napoli - Monza 0:0
    14.05.2023 Monza - Napoli 2:0
    Latest results of Monza
    12.04.2025 Venezia - Monza 1:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Monza - Como 1:3 ✺
    30.03.2025 Cagliari - Monza 3:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Monza - Parma 1:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Inter Milan - Monza 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Napoli
    14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0 ✺
    07.04.2025 Bologna - Napoli 1:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1 ✺
    16.03.2025 Venezia - Napoli 0:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Monza - Napoli?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
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    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
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    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
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    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
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    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalSport TV5
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    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
    united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
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    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball
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