Napoli vs Qarabağ Agdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 6
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+ Action
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 3, Tabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.430.48
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
89% (483/545)85% (387/454)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
3.430.48
xG on target (xGOT)
3.640.11
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3524
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
618
Passes
89% (483/545)85% (387/454)
Long passes
74% (23/31)29% (12/41)
Passes in final third
78% (93/120)75% (75/100)
Crosses
40% (6/15)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.800.46
Throw-ins
911
Fouls
186
Tackles
42% (5/12)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3139
Clearances
1214
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.113.64
Goals prevented
0.112.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Medina K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', Lang N. 🟨,
  • 55', Jankovic M. 🟨,
  • 56', Hojlund R. (Pen),
  • 60', Leandro Andrade , Kashchuk O. ,
  • 60', Medina K. , Mmaee S. ,
  • 64', Beukema S. , Politano M. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, McTominay S. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Jankovic M. (Own goal),
  • 75', Lang N. , Elmas E. ,
  • 75', Hojlund R. , Lucca L. ,
  • 75', Matheus Silva , Dani Bolt ,
  • 75', Cafarquliyev E. , Bayramov T. ,
  • 75', Duran C. , Akhundzade N. ,
  • 77', Rrahmani A. 🟨,
  • 90', David Neres , Vergara A. ,
  • 90', Buongiorno A. , Juan Jesus ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
79.6%
Draw
13.9%
Qarabağ Agdam
6.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.8% 16.4% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.
  • Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Napoli - Qarabağ Agdam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.3)
    7.03
    (5.81)
    14.67
    (9.79)
    3.3%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Napoli - Qarabağ Agdam?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 47 - 83.9%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 5 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 74.3%93.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Qarabağ (8.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Napoli (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Napoli (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Napoli (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Napoli (1.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Napoli (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Napoli (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Napoli (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Napoli (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Napoli (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Napoli (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 27 - 93.1%). Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Napoli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Qarabağ is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Qarabağ has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Napoli is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury) Spinazzola L. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Montiel J. (Inactive) Rzayev A. (Inactive) Sheydayev R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Qarabağ: Cafarquliyev E. (Injury) Kady Borges (Injury) Mahammadaliyev S. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Napoli
    22.11.2025 Napoli - Atalanta 3:1
    09.11.2025 Bologna - Napoli 2:0
    01.11.2025 Napoli - Como 0:0
    28.10.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2