Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoTDM TV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 6
portugalPortugalDAZN / App, Sport TV5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 7
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.30
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
90% (459/508)90% (444/495)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.131.66
Total shots
128
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
916
Passes
90% (459/508)90% (444/495)
Long passes
62% (24/39)55% (26/47)
Passes in final third
73% (85/116)79% (85/107)
Crosses
20% (3/15)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.72
Throw-ins
1113
Fouls
169
Tackles
56% (10/18)67% (16/24)
Duels won
4459
Clearances
1822
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.661.13
Goals prevented
0.66-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Hojlund R. , De Bruyne K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Trincao , Goncalves P. ,
  • 46', Catamo G. , Suarez L. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Suarez L. (Pen),
  • 67', Quaresma E. , Debast Z. ,
  • 67', Ioannidis F. , Alisson Santos ,
  • 69', Politano M. , David Neres ,
  • 69', McTominay S. , Lang N. ,
  • 78', Simoes J. , Morita H. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Hojlund R. , De Bruyne K. (A),
  • 81', Gutierrez M. , Olivera M. ,
  • 81', De Bruyne K. , Gilmour B. ,
  • 90', Hojlund R. , Lucca L. ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
56%
Draw
27.6%
Sporting Lisbon
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.7% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.2% 22.2%

Napoli - Sporting Lisbon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.87
(1.85)
3.87
(3.72)
6.98
(4.23)
-6.2%
(4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napoli - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Napoli (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Sporting (1.95) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Napoli (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Napoli (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75, 1st Half - Napoli (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Napoli (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Napoli (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Napoli (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Napoli (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Napoli (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Napoli (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Napoli (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Napoli (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Napoli (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Napoli will win (56 of 70 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.63%89.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 27 - 81.8%). Sporting (votes: 4 - 12.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Napoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Napoli is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Thigh Injury) Contini N. (Hand Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Red Card) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Rrahmani A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Diomande O. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Napoli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Napoli
    28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1
    22.09.2025 Napoli - Pisa 3:2
    18.09.2025 Manchester City - Napoli 2:0
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    30.08.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 1:0
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 770020:21821
    2Bayern Munich ✔ 760120:71318
    3Real Madrid750219:81115
    4Liverpool750214:8615
    5Tottenham742115:7814
    6PSG741220:101013
    7Newcastle741216:61013
    8Chelsea741214:8613
    9Barcelona741218:13513
    10Sporting CP741214:9513
    11Manchester City741213:9413
    12Atl. Madrid741216:13313
    13Atalanta741210:9113
    14Inter740313:7612
    15Juventus733114:10412
    16Dortmund732219:15411
    17Galatasaray73139:9010
    18Qarabag731313:15-210
    19Marseille730411:1109
    20Bayer Leverkusen723210:14-49
    21Monaco72328:14-69
    22PSV722315:1418
    23Ath Bilbao72237:11-48
    24Olympiacos Piraeus72238:13-58
    25Napoli72237:12-58
    26FC Copenhagen722311:17-68
    27Club Brugge KV721412:17-57
    28Bodo/Glimt713312:14-26
    29Benfica72056:10-46
    30Pafos71334:10-66
    31Royale Union SG72057:17-106
    32Ajax72057:19-126
    33Eintracht Frankfurt711510:19-94
    34Slavia Prague70344:15-113
    35Villarreal70165:15-101
    36Kairat Almaty70165:19-141

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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