Result
1:0
21/06/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 17
- Referee: Pukk M. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Skinjov A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Poliakov D. ↓, Ivanyushin A. ↑,
- 55', Uggeri G. 🟨,
- 63', Hydara M. ↓, Ignatius C. ↑,
- 64', Uggeri G. ↓, Karis M. ↑,
- 67', Filatov A. 🟨,
- 68', Skinjov A. ↓, Burjanadze S. ↑,
- 69', Kauan Pereira ↓, Muur R. ↑,
- 69', Kallas R. ↓, Miil M. ↑,
- 75', Karis M. 🟨,
- 79', Eriks Santos ↓, Kondrattsev S. ↑,
- 80', Baljabkin N. 🟨,
- 85', Ignatius C. ↓, Lang T. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Koskor T. ⚽,
- 90+8', Agaptsev S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tammeka
46% | Draw
26.7% | Narva Trans
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tammeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Tammeka - Narva Trans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.91) |
3.44 ↓
(3.64) |
3.37 ↓
(3.57) |
8.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tammeka - Narva Trans?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tammeka will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 2.
- Tammeka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Narva Trans has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Tammeka has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tammeka is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tammeka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tammeka won against Narva Trans?
Tammeka has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Tammeka?
Narva Trans has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tammeka - Narva Trans were as follows:
07.04.2026
Narva Trans
-
Tammeka
3:0
17.01.2026
Narva Trans
-
Tammeka
1:2
08.11.2025
Tammeka
-
Narva Trans
2:0
09.08.2025
Narva Trans
-
Tammeka
4:1
03.05.2025
Narva Trans
-
Tammeka
4:0
Latest results of Tammeka
Latest results of Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 46 |
| 2 | Flora | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 39:21 | 18 | 36 |
| 3 | Kalju | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33:16 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | Paide | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 28:38 | -10 | 26 |
| 6 | Tammeka | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 25 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19:33 | -14 | 18 |
| 10 | Narva | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15:47 | -32 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
