Result
1:0
11/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 18
- Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Sayfiev F. 🟥,
- 28', 1 - 0, Iskanderov J. (Pen),
- 35', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
- 40', Nasrullaev S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bozorov O. ↓, Colovic S. ↑,
- 62', Alibaev I. 🟨,
- 62', Mukhammadiev S. ↓, Mukhitdinov S. ↑,
- 63', Kojo J. ↓, Nimely S. ↑,
- 63', Odilov A. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
- 67', Mukhitdinov S. 🟨,
- 70', Nasrullaev S. ↓, Shala A. ↑,
- 75', Ismoilov A. 🟨,
- 79', Ismoilov A. ↓, Ruziev K. ↑,
- 85', Alibaev I. ↓, Gulyamov G. ↑,
- 90+1', Eshmurodov U. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Fargona
36.5% | Draw
29.9% | Nasaf Qarshi
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↓
(2.62) |
3.09 ↓
(3.25) |
2.74 ↑
(2.35) |
8.5%
(11.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 50%). Nasaf (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against Nasaf Qarshi?
Neftchi Fargona has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against Neftchi Fargona?
Nasaf Qarshi has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
29.03.2025
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Neftchi Fargona
0:0
22.11.2024
Neftchi Fargona
-
Nasaf Qarshi
2:0
20.06.2024
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Neftchi Fargona
1:0
07.10.2023
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Neftchi Fargona
2:0
02.07.2023
Neftchi Fargona
-
Nasaf Qarshi
2:1
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 32:15 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | OKMK | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | 8 | 34 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:22 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Pakhtakor | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 36:17 | 19 | 33 |
| 6 | Navbahor Namangan | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34:19 | 15 | 31 |
| 7 | Bunyodkor | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 31 |
| 8 | Termez Surkhon | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Qizilqum | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 16:25 | -9 | 22 |
| 10 | Andijan | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 23:25 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | Xorazm Urganch | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 15 |
| 14 | Mashal Muborak | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 15 |
| 15 | Buxoro | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11:32 | -21 | 10 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
