Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (314/373) | 89% (454/511) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (314/373) | 89% (454/511) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (30/47) | 49% (21/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (52/80) | 80% (123/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 52% (13/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Orozco J. ⚽, Padelford D. (A),
- 39', 2 - 0, Joao Klauss ⚽, Lowen E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Morales A. 🟨,
- 61', Perez J. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
- 62', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
- 62', Tagseth E. ↓, Muyl A. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 0, Jeong S. ⚽,
- 70', Ostrak T. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
- 70', Jeong S. ↓, Pompeu C. ↑,
- 74', Surridge S. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 74', Meyer W. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Mukhtar H. (Pen),
- 86', Morales A. ↓, Watts A. ↑,
- 86', Hartel M. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
- 90', Yazbek P. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
- 90+3', Joyner M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Muyl A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Louis City
29.7% | Draw
25.6% | Nashville SC
44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
St. Louis City - Nashville SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↓
(3.3) |
3.69 ↓
(3.85) |
2.11 ↑
(2.02) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Nashville SC?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nashville will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- St. Louis City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nashville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nashville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R.
(Hip Injury)
Durkin C.
(Red Card)
Kessler H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wentzel M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T.
(Knee Injury)
Ekk M.
(Knee Injury)
Schmitt T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Washington T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Nashville SC?
St. Louis City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against St. Louis City?
Nashville SC has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Nashville SC were as follows:
17.06.2023
Nashville SC
-
St. Louis City
3:1
Latest results of St. Louis City
Latest results of Nashville SC
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
