Nashville SC vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Nashville SC - Toronto FC
Result
1:0
19/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 4
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.030.44
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
87% (416/476)86% (383/444)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.030.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.00
Total shots
107
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2612
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
814
Passes
87% (416/476)86% (383/444)
Long passes
50% (18/36)52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
71% (89/126)66% (53/80)
Crosses
38% (5/13)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.47
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
148
Tackles
62% (13/21)79% (19/24)
Duels won
4353
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.001.47
Goals prevented
0.000.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Surridge S. ,
  • 39', Thompson K. , Spicer T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Longstaff M. , Osorio J. ,
  • 60', Zimmerman W. 🟨,
  • 68', Franklin K. 🟨,
  • 68', Muyl A. 🟨,
  • 72', Dominguez M. , Etienne D. ,
  • 73', Long K. 🟨,
  • 73', Tagseth E. , Yazbek P. ,
  • 73', Qasem A. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 80', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
  • 85', Brugman G. , Acosta B. ,
  • 90+5', Mukhtar H. , Corcoran M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
66%
Draw
21.2%
Toronto FC
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 23.3% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.8% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Nashville SC - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.6)
    4.5
    (4.05)
    7.37
    (5.39)
    5.3%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Toronto FC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Toronto (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 3.
    • Nashville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nashville is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Meyer W. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Petretta R. (Injury)
    • We predict that Nashville will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Toronto FC were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2
    19.06.2024 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2
    15.05.2024 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 2:0
    10.06.2023 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:1
    08.04.2023 Nashville SC - Toronto FC 0:0
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)