Result
1:0
19/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | TSN 4 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (416/476) | 86% (383/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (416/476) | 86% (383/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (18/36) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (89/126) | 66% (53/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 79% (19/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽,
- 39', Thompson K. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Longstaff M. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
- 60', Zimmerman W. 🟨,
- 68', Franklin K. 🟨,
- 68', Muyl A. 🟨,
- 72', Dominguez M. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 73', Long K. 🟨,
- 73', Tagseth E. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
- 73', Qasem A. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 80', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
- 85', Brugman G. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
- 90+5', Mukhtar H. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nashville SC
66% | Draw
21.2% | Toronto FC
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Nashville SC - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.6) |
4.5 ↑
(4.05) |
7.37 ↑
(5.39) |
5.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Toronto FC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Toronto (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Nashville (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Toronto (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 3.
- Nashville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nashville is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T.
(Knee Injury)
Ekk M.
(Knee Injury)
Meyer W.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Petretta R.
(Injury)
- We predict that Nashville will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Toronto FC?
Nashville SC has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Nashville SC?
Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Toronto FC were as follows:
24.05.2025
Toronto FC
-
Nashville SC
1:2
19.06.2024
Toronto FC
-
Nashville SC
1:2
15.05.2024
Nashville SC
-
Toronto FC
2:0
10.06.2023
Toronto FC
-
Nashville SC
1:1
08.04.2023
Nashville SC
-
Toronto FC
0:0
Latest results of Nashville SC
Latest results of Toronto FC
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | New York City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
