Result
0:2
29/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Igor Pereira 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Bruno Mezenga ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fabricio Dias ↓, Rickson ↑,
- 62', Kelvin ↓, Wenderson ↑,
- 62', Patrick Allan ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Helio Borges ⚽,
- 66', Arnaldo ↓, Marcos Ytalo ↑,
- 66', Lucas Mila 🟨,
- 72', Lucas Mila ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 72', Julio Henrique ↓, Cleiton ↑,
- 72', Igor Pereira ↓, Auremir ↑,
- 74', Wenderson 🟨,
- 75', Marco Antonio 🟨,
- 77', Marco Antonio ↓, Samuel ↑,
- 81', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Rafael Silva ↑,
Chances of winning
Tombense
44.4% | Draw
30% | Náutico Capibaribe
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.2) |
3.04 ↓
(3.3) |
3.57 ↑
(2.99) |
9.7%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).
- In recent matches, Tombense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Náutico is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tombense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Tombense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Tombense?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
07.07.2024
Tombense
-
Náutico Capibaribe
0:0
04.10.2022
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Tombense
4:3
Latest results of Tombense
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | CSA | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
| 10 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Ituano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
| 14 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Itabaiana | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13:17 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Maringa FC | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 18 |
| 17 | Figueirense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 18 | ABC | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
