EC São José Porto Alegre vs Náutico Marcílio Dias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias
Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
103
Total shots
127
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
103
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Lucas Batatinha ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 1 - 1, Giovane Gomez ,

Chances of winning


EC São José Porto Alegre
42.2%
Draw
28.3%
Náutico Marcílio Dias
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 27% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 26.9% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC São José Porto Alegre's form might have worsened.
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC São José Porto Alegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.88)
    3.2
    (3.36)
    3.07
    (3.67)
    10.5%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • EC São José is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • Marcílio Dias is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • EC São José will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - EC São José Porto Alegre 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao
    2America RNImperatriz
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES
    7MixtoCianorte
    8Barra FCCeilandia