EC São José Porto Alegre vs Náutico Marcílio Dias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias
Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
103
Total shots
127
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
103
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Lucas Batatinha ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 1 - 1, Giovane Gomez ,

Chances of winning


EC São José Porto Alegre
42.2%
Draw
28.3%
Náutico Marcílio Dias
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 27% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 26.9% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC São José Porto Alegre's form might have worsened.
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC São José Porto Alegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.88)
    3.2
    (3.36)
    3.07
    (3.67)
    10.5%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • EC São José is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • Marcílio Dias is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • EC São José will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - EC São José Porto Alegre 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira3 : 2, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Santa CruzBarra FC0 : 0, 1 : 2