Naval vs Marinhense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
30
Total shots
98
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
30
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Maria G. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 73', 2 - 1, ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Naval
35.7%
Draw
29.3%
Marinhense
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 26.2% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 24.9% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naval's performance.
  • Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marinhense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naval that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marinhense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Naval - Marinhense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (3.24)
    3.08
    (3.5)
    2.58
    (2.02)
    10.9%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 7).
    • Recent performances by Naval have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Marinhense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Naval
    21.09.2025 Naval - Leixões 0:1
    14.09.2025 SC Lusitânia - Naval 0:1
    24.08.2025 Naval - União da Serra 3:5
    17.08.2025 SB Castelo Branco - Naval 1:0
    10.08.2025 Naval - Eléctrico 5:1
    Latest results of Marinhense
    21.09.2025 Marinhense - Mosteirense 6:0
    14.09.2025 Marinhense - Mortágua 0:1
    24.08.2025 Fatima - Marinhense 1:1
    10.08.2025 Peniche - Marinhense 0:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache18134128:72143
    2SB Castelo Branco18112535:171835
    3Naval 18931895426:17932
    4Mortagua1895419:17232
    5Oliveira Hospital1886422:101230
    6Uniao Da Serra1877427:19828
    7Os Marialvas1772824:21323
    8Fatima1856716:20-421
    9Peniche1856719:26-721
    10Lajense1956825:27-221
    11Marinhense1646611:20-918
    12Samora Correia18351012:25-1314
    13Electrico19341221:44-2313
    14SC Lusitania19341217:32-1513

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