Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Maria G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Naval 35.7% | Draw 29.3% | Marinhense 35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naval's performance.Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marinhense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naval that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marinhense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Naval - Marinhense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↓ (3.24) |
3.08 ↓ (3.5) |
2.58 ↑ (2.02) |
10.9% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 7).
- Recent performances by Naval have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marinhense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Naval won against Marinhense?
Naval has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against Naval?
Marinhense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naval - Marinhense were as follows:
Latest results of Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 35:17 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 22:10 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Fatima | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | Peniche | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Lajense | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 18 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12:25 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 | Electrico | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 21:44 | -23 | 13 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation