Peniche vs Naval – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Chances of winning


Peniche
33.5%
Draw
30%
Naval
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 29.8% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 29.7% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Peniche have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Peniche - Naval Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.69)
    2.99
    (3.03)
    2.46
    (2.46)
    11.4%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Naval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peniche won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Naval were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Naval - Peniche 2:0
    Latest results of Peniche
    22.02.2026 Mortágua - Peniche 2:1
    14.02.2026 Peniche - Fatima 1:1
    25.01.2026 Peniche - Lajense 2:2
    10.01.2026 Marinhense - Peniche 0:0
    Latest results of Naval
    22.02.2026 Naval - Oliveira Hospital 0:0
    08.02.2026 Naval - SC Lusitânia 1:1
    25.01.2026 União da Serra - Naval 2:0
    17.01.2026 Naval - SB Castelo Branco 1:0
    10.01.2026 Eléctrico - Naval 1:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache18134128:72143
    2SB Castelo Branco18112535:171835
    3Naval 18931895426:17932
    4Mortagua1895419:17232
    5Oliveira Hospital1886422:101230
    6Uniao Da Serra1877427:19828
    7Os Marialvas1772824:21323
    8Fatima1856716:20-421
    9Peniche1856719:26-721
    10Lajense1956825:27-221
    11Marinhense1646611:20-918
    12Samora Correia18351012:25-1314
    13Electrico19341221:44-2313
    14SC Lusitania19341217:32-1513

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