Peniche vs Naval – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
16
Red cards
01
Total shots
610
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, ,
  • 87', 🟥,
  • 89', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Peniche
32.8%
Draw
31.2%
Naval
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 29.8% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 29.7% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Peniche - Naval Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.69)
    2.92
    (3.03)
    2.53
    (2.46)
    9.7%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Naval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peniche won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Naval were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Naval - Peniche 2:0
    Latest results of Peniche
    22.02.2026 Mortágua - Peniche 2:1
    14.02.2026 Peniche - Fatima 1:1
    25.01.2026 Peniche - Lajense 2:2
    10.01.2026 Marinhense - Peniche 0:0
    Latest results of Naval
    22.02.2026 Naval - Oliveira Hospital 0:0
    08.02.2026 Naval - SC Lusitânia 1:1
    25.01.2026 União da Serra - Naval 2:0
    17.01.2026 Naval - SB Castelo Branco 1:0
    10.01.2026 Eléctrico - Naval 1:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache21145229:82147
    2SB Castelo Branco21132638:191941
    3Naval 189322115630:22838
    4Oliveira Hospital21107429:111837
    5Uniao Da Serra21107431:191237
    6Mortagua2196620:20033
    7Os Marialvas2184928:26228
    8Peniche2176824:28-427
    9Fatima2167818:22-425
    10Lajense2258927:30-323
    11Marinhense2158815:27-1223
    12Samora Correia21451214:28-1417
    13Electrico22441427:53-2616
    14SC Lusitania22441420:37-1716

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