NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
09/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 1
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.240.76
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
106
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
81% (377/468)72% (201/279)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.240.76
xG on target (xGOT)
4.321.39
Total shots
159
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3218
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
81% (377/468)72% (201/279)
Long passes
38% (20/53)49% (39/79)
Passes in final third
66% (80/121)56% (50/89)
Crosses
15% (2/13)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.78
Throw-ins
2822
Fouls
1414
Tackles
68% (19/28)68% (15/22)
Duels won
6153
Clearances
1918
Interceptions
414
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
1.394.32
Goals prevented
1.39-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Proper D. , Onal B. (A),
  • 16', Carlen A. 🟨,
  • 30', van Gassel S. , Holla T. ,
  • 44', Onal B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Ogawa K. , Linssen B. (A),
  • 58', Sanches Fernandes D. , Yoon D. ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Ogawa K. , Onal B. (A),
  • 67', 4 - 0, Linssen B. , Chery T. (A),
  • 71', Middendorp S. , Meissen R. ,
  • 71', van Duinen M. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 71', Naujoks N. , Booth Z. ,
  • 71', Onal B. , Misidjan V. ,
  • 71', Linssen B. , Gonzalez R. ,
  • 77', Ogawa K. , El Kachati Y. ,
  • 77', Sandler P. , de Laat S. ,
  • 82', 5 - 0, Chery T. (Pen),
  • 83', Chery T. , van Crooij V. ,

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
54.7%
Draw
23.5%
Excelsior
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 24.1% 21.3%

NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.73
(1.74)
4
(3.93)
4.36
(4.45)
5.6%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
    • Nijmegen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nijmegen is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Cillessen J. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nijmegen: Linssen B. (Injury) Proper D. (Head Injury)
    • We predict that Nijmegen will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior were as follows:
    06.05.2024 Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen 0:3
    13.08.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior 3:4
    19.02.2023 Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen 0:3
    08.10.2022 NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior 1:1
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    Latest results of Excelsior
    19.07.2025 Dordrecht - Excelsior 2:2
    12.07.2025 NAC Breda - Excelsior 0:1
    05.07.2025 ASWH - Excelsior 2:3
    02.05.2025 Excelsior - Jong PSV 5:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV21182164:253956
    2Feyenoord21123651:321939
    3Nijmegen20115452:341838
    4Ajax21108341:281338
    5Sparta Rotterdam21112827:34-735
    6AZ Alkmaar2195736:35132
    7Twente21710431:24731
    8Groningen2194828:26231
    9Zwolle2175930:43-1326
    10Heerenveen2067732:31125
    11Sittard21741031:36-525
    12Utrecht2066830:27324
    13Excelsior21651022:37-1523
    14G.A. Eagles20410631:34-322
    15FC Volendam21461122:36-1418
    16Heracles21521430:53-2317
    17NAC Breda21371123:34-1116
    18Telstar21371125:37-1216

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie