Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 29
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (277/367) | 82% (368/450) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (277/367) | 82% (368/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (34/79) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (58/96) | 65% (100/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Nejasmic D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Hansson E. ↓, Yegoian I. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 2, Onal B. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
- 76', Hartjes L. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 76', Zagre A. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
- 80', Onal B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
- 81', Linssen B. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
- 81', Dasa E. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 85', Fonville D. ↓, Kaplan A. ↑,
- 90+1', Bronkhorst I. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
- 90+1', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
25.8% | Draw
24.2% | NEC Nijmegen
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↑
(3.36) |
3.93 ↓
(3.99) |
1.9 ↓
(1.96) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
- Excelsior is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nijmegen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of home games.
- Nijmegen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Akujobi H.
(Injury)
Jonathans M.
(Knee Injury)
Raatsie C.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Bergraaf J.
(Injury)
Schouten L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Cillessen J.
(Injury)
Pereira B.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against NEC Nijmegen?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Excelsior?
NEC Nijmegen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
09.08.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
Excelsior
5:0
06.05.2024
Excelsior
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:3
13.08.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Excelsior
3:4
19.02.2023
Excelsior
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:3
08.10.2022
NEC Nijmegen
-
Excelsior
1:1
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 82:40 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 71:47 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Twente | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Ajax | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 54:37 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 53:47 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 41 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 35 |
| 12 | Sittard | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:58 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 | Telstar | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29:49 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Heracles | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 34:74 | -40 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
