Result
5:0
09/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 1
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (377/468) | 72% (201/279) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.32 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (377/468) | 72% (201/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 49% (39/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (80/121) | 56% (50/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (19/28) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 4.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.39 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Proper D. ⚽, Onal B. (A),
- 16', Carlen A. 🟨,
- 30', van Gassel S. ↓, Holla T. ↑,
- 44', Onal B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 0, Ogawa K. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
- 58', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Yoon D. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 0, Ogawa K. ⚽, Onal B. (A),
- 67', 4 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽, Chery T. (A),
- 71', Middendorp S. ↓, Meissen R. ↑,
- 71', van Duinen M. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 71', Naujoks N. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
- 71', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 71', Linssen B. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 77', Ogawa K. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 77', Sandler P. ↓, de Laat S. ↑,
- 82', 5 - 0, Chery T. (Pen),
- 83', Chery T. ↓, van Crooij V. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
54.7% | Draw
23.5% | Excelsior
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.74) |
4 ↑
(3.93) |
4.36 ↓
(4.45) |
5.6%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
- Nijmegen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nijmegen is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Cillessen J.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Linssen B.
(Injury)
Proper D.
(Head Injury)
- We predict that Nijmegen will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Excelsior?
NEC Nijmegen has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against NEC Nijmegen?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior were as follows:
06.05.2024
Excelsior
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:3
13.08.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Excelsior
3:4
19.02.2023
Excelsior
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:3
08.10.2022
NEC Nijmegen
-
Excelsior
1:1
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Excelsior
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | PSV | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Ajax | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Groningen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Nijmegen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Heracles | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:18 | -15 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
