Result
0:1
15/08/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/374) | 77% (261/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/374) | 77% (261/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (29/50) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/118) | 72% (85/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Diaz I. ⚽,
- 14', Cambindo D. 🟨,
- 38', Calderon C. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
- 45+2', Echeverria R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Perez P. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 58', Cortizo J. 🟨,
- 62', Beltran Cruz F. ↓, Arcila D. ↑,
- 67', Reyes S. 🟨,
- 70', Palavecino A. 🟨,
- 72', Rojas J. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 76', Diaz I. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
- 76', Alvarado A. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
- 79', Cambindo D. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez I. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 81', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 84', Fonseca N. (Pen),
- 87', Rosero K. 🟨,
- 90', Cortizo J. ↓, Estrada A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
48.2% | Draw
25.4% | Club León
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Necaxa - Club León Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.05) |
3.71 ↑
(3.36) |
3.57 ↓
(3.58) |
6.2%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Club León?
Users Predictions:
Necaxa will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Necaxa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1.
- Necaxa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- León is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, León has had a series of away games.
- Necaxa might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Oliveros A.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in León: Blanco A.
(Wrist Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Club León?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Necaxa?
Club León has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Club León were as follows:
14.03.2025
Necaxa
-
Club León
2:1
21.07.2024
Club León
-
Necaxa
1:1
31.03.2024
Necaxa
-
Club León
1:2
02.09.2023
Club León
-
Necaxa
1:1
16.01.2023
Club León
-
Necaxa
2:1
Latest results of Club León
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
