Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 20:06 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX+, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (319/380) | 79% (267/340) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (319/380) | 79% (267/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 56% (40/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (120/147) | 61% (46/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Oliveros A. ⚽, Leyva D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Almendra A. E. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 49', Monreal R. 🟨,
- 57', Oliveros A. 🟨,
- 58', Monreal R. ↓, Rosero K. ↑,
- 58', Ramirez D. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
- 59', Vallejo N. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
- 59', Arcila D. ↓, Beltran Cruz F. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ⚽,
- 69', Faravelli L. ↓, Gutierrez K. ↑,
- 78', Pena A. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
- 78', Calderon C. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Cambindo D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', Diaz I. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
- 90+1', Cambindo D. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
- 90+7', Rossano F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Club León
45.1% | Draw
26.4% | Necaxa
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Club León - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.24) |
3.57 ↑
(3.35) |
3.29 ↑
(2.81) |
6.3%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Club León - Necaxa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. León (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Club León will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 2.
- León is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Necaxa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- León could have a small edge in this match.
- There are questionable in León: Beltran Cruz F.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Necaxa: Pena A.
(Injury)
Rosero K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, León won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, León won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Necaxa?
Club León has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Club León?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club León - Necaxa were as follows:
15.08.2025
Necaxa
-
Club León
0:1
14.03.2025
Necaxa
-
Club León
2:1
21.07.2024
Club León
-
Necaxa
1:1
31.03.2024
Necaxa
-
Club León
1:2
02.09.2023
Club León
-
Necaxa
1:1
Latest results of Club León
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19:7 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Atlas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Club America | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Juarez | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Puebla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
