Result
0:1
15/08/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 1.50 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
80% (301/374) | 77% (261/338) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 1.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.83 | 0.18 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 12 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
80% (301/374) | 77% (261/338) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (29/50) | 42% (29/69) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (83/118) | 72% (85/118) |
Crosses |
---|
10% (2/20) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.20 | 0.37 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
59% (10/17) | 53% (10/19) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.18 | 0.83 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.82 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Diaz I. ⚽,
- 14', Cambindo D. 🟨,
- 38', Calderon C. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
- 45+2', Echeverria R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Perez P. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 58', Cortizo J. 🟨,
- 62', Beltran Cruz F. ↓, Arcila D. ↑,
- 67', Reyes S. 🟨,
- 70', Palavecino A. 🟨,
- 72', Rojas J. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 76', Diaz I. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
- 76', Alvarado A. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
- 79', Cambindo D. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez I. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 81', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 84', Fonseca N. (Pen),
- 87', Rosero K. 🟨,
- 90', Cortizo J. ↓, Estrada A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Necaxa 48.2% | Draw 25.4% | Club León 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Necaxa - Club León Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↓ (2.05) |
3.71 ↑ (3.36) |
3.57 ↓ (3.58) |
6.2% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Club León?
Users Predictions:
Necaxa will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Necaxa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1.
- Necaxa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- León is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, León has had a series of away games.
- Necaxa might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Oliveros A.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in León: Blanco A.
(Wrist Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Club León?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against Necaxa?
Club León has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Club León were as follows:
14.03.2025
Necaxa
-
Club León
2:1
21.07.2024
Club León
-
Necaxa
1:1
31.03.2024
Necaxa
-
Club León
1:2
02.09.2023
Club León
-
Necaxa
1:1
16.01.2023
Club León
-
Necaxa
2:1
Latest results of Club León
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )