Result
3:0
23/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | SportyNet |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | NBC Universo, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (417/480) | 84% (305/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (417/480) | 84% (305/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 60% (28/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (86/114) | 68% (63/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | -1.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Ocampos L. ⚽, Canales S. (A),
- 21', 2 - 0, Canales S. ⚽,
- 27', Monreal R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Monreal R. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
- 46', Andrade A. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Torres O. ↑,
- 52', Rossano F. 🟨,
- 56', Unsain E. 🟨,
- 59', 3 - 0, Ramos S. (Pen),
- 60', Medina S. ↓, Moreno H. ↑,
- 60', Corona J. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
- 63', Rossano F. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 70', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 72', Rosero K. 🟨,
- 75', Ocampos L. ↓, Reyes L. ↑,
- 78', Cambindo D. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 86', Berterame G. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monterrey
59.8% | Draw
21.5% | Necaxa
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Monterrey - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.68) |
4.34 ↑
(4.08) |
4.99 ↑
(4.6) |
6.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Necaxa?
Users Predictions:
Monterrey will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monterrey will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 5.
- Recent performances by Monterrey have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Necaxa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Monterrey has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Monterrey is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Andrada E.
(Elbow Injury)
Salcedo C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Necaxa: Lara E.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Necaxa: Calderon C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Necaxa?
Monterrey has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Monterrey?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Necaxa were as follows:
01.02.2025
Monterrey
-
Necaxa
1:0
17.07.2024
Necaxa
-
Monterrey
0:1
28.04.2024
Necaxa
-
Monterrey
2:5
31.10.2023
Monterrey
-
Necaxa
3:0
18.02.2023
Monterrey
-
Necaxa
2:1
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
