Result
3:5
11/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Guatemala | Azteca Guatemala |
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (253/329) | 77% (237/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 3.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (253/329) | 77% (237/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (60/100) | 78% (77/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.42 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 68% (19/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.88 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.12 | -1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', Pedraza P. 🟨,
- 28', Paradela J. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Rondon S. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Perez P. ⚽, Rosero K. (A),
- 36', Andrade A. 🟨,
- 40', Palavecino A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Rondon S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 48', Idrissi O. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 2, De Buen D. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
- 58', Idrissi O. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 68', Sigala J. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
- 68', John Kennedy ↓, Homenchenko S. ↑,
- 78', Palma A. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
- 78', Pedraza P. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Perez P. ⚽,
- 80', Berlanga J. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 3, Montiel E. ⚽, Rondon S. (A),
- 86', Perez P. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 86', Rosero K. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 4, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Bautista A. (A),
- 90+4', 3 - 5, Rondon S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
36.9% | Draw
26.8% | Pachuca
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Necaxa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Necaxa - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.27) |
3.51 ↓
(3.75) |
2.57 ↓
(2.79) |
6.6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Pachuca will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Necaxa: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Necaxa won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Cambindo D.
(Head Injury)
Oliveros A.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Barreto S. D.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez B.
(Red Card)
Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez E.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Necaxa: Rodriguez I.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Necaxa won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:31 (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Necaxa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Pachuca?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Necaxa?
Pachuca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Pachuca were as follows:
02.11.2024
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
6:2
05.05.2024
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
2:1
23.02.2024
Necaxa
-
Pachuca
1:1
30.09.2023
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
1:1
29.01.2023
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
2:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
