Result
2:1
03/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (261/333) | 84% (351/417) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (261/333) | 84% (351/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 40% (17/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (73/107) | 62% (49/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Dominguez A. ⚽, Garcia Caprizo B. A. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Idrissi O. ⚽, Garcia Caprizo B. A. (A),
- 39', Pena A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Martinez R. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
- 46', Tello I. ↓, Gutierrez K. ↑,
- 46', Rosero K. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 1, Ruiz J. ⚽, Faravelli L. (A),
- 65', Kenedy ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
- 68', Sanchez C. 🟨,
- 74', Idrissi O. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
- 79', Moreno C. 🟨,
- 88', Rossano F. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
- 88', Leyva D. ↓, Casas B. ↑,
- 89', Rodriguez S. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 90+1', Lara E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Faravelli L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Calderon C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pachuca
54.4% | Draw
25.1% | Necaxa
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pachuca's performance.Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Pachuca - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.91) |
3.69 ↑
(3.3) |
4.53 ↑
(3.58) |
7.3%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Necaxa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Pachuca (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Necaxa (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Pachuca (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pachuca will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pachuca will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Necaxa (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 4.
- Pachuca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Necaxa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pachuca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pachuca is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Mozo A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Montiel E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Necaxa?
Pachuca has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Pachuca?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Necaxa were as follows:
03.10.2025
Necaxa
-
Pachuca
0:1
11.04.2025
Necaxa
-
Pachuca
3:5
02.11.2024
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
6:2
05.05.2024
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
2:1
23.02.2024
Necaxa
-
Pachuca
1:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Club America | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Juarez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
