Result
0:1
03/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (292/375) | 71% (212/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (292/375) | 71% (212/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 37% (23/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (99/152) | 69% (57/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/26) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (20/31) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Cambindo D. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Quinones L. ⚽, Aceves A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Eduardo Bauermann 🟨,
- 55', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
- 60', Aceves A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 64', Kenedy ↓, Togni G. ↑,
- 64', Idrissi O. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
- 67', Cambindo D. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 72', Pedraza P. 🟨,
- 72', Rossano F. 🟨,
- 77', Rojas J. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 79', Palavecino A. 🟨,
- 79', Valencia E. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 80', Pedraza P. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 90', Moreno C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
38.1% | Draw
25.9% | Pachuca
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Necaxa - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.75) |
3.61
(3.61) |
2.59 ↑
(2.4) |
6.7%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Pachuca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Jimenez L.
(Red Card)
Lara E.
(Elbow Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Dominguez A.
(International duty)
Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Montiel E.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Carvalho W.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:36. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Pachuca?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Necaxa?
Pachuca has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Pachuca were as follows:
11.04.2025
Necaxa
-
Pachuca
3:5
02.11.2024
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
6:2
05.05.2024
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
2:1
23.02.2024
Necaxa
-
Pachuca
1:1
30.09.2023
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
1:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Juarez | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Atlas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
