Result
03/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Chances of winning
Pachuca
54.4% | Draw
25.1% | Necaxa
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pachuca's performance.Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Pachuca - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.91) |
3.69 ↑
(3.3) |
4.53 ↑
(3.58) |
7.3%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Necaxa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Pachuca (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Necaxa (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Pachuca (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pachuca will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pachuca will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Necaxa (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 4.
- Pachuca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Necaxa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pachuca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pachuca is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Mozo A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Montiel E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Necaxa?
Pachuca has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Pachuca?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Necaxa were as follows:
03.10.2025
Necaxa
-
Pachuca
0:1
11.04.2025
Necaxa
-
Pachuca
3:5
02.11.2024
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
6:2
05.05.2024
Pachuca
-
Necaxa
2:1
23.02.2024
Necaxa
-
Pachuca
1:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Club America | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Juarez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | -14 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
