Result
1:1
17/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Faraj I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nuriyev A. ↓, Konate B. ↑,
- 50', Sadiqov R. 🟨,
- 51', Vargas F. 🟨,
- 62', Volkovi D. ↓, Mickels L. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Faraj I. ⚽,
- 70', Djibrilla I. ↓, Papunashvili G. ↑,
- 70', Guima ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
- 74', Faraj I. ↓, Shtogrin A. ↑,
- 74', Mahmudov E. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
- 79', Aydin E. ↓, Martins Junior ↑,
- 84', Mathew I. ↓, D'Almeida S. ↑,
- 86', Mickels L. 🟨,
- 87', Breno Almeida ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Konate B. ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zira
30.7% | Draw
31.4% | Neftchi Baku
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Zira - Neftchi Baku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.64) |
2.91 ↓
(2.94) |
2.41 ↓
(2.59) |
9.6%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Zira - Neftchi Baku?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Neftchi will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 2.
- Zira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Neftchi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Neftchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Neftchi Baku?
Zira has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Zira?
Neftchi Baku has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zira - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
23.01.2026
Neftchi Baku
-
Zira
0:0
02.12.2025
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
1:0
03.10.2025
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
2:2
13.04.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Zira
2:4
10.02.2025
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
1:2
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 72:21 | 51 | 75 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Zira | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
