Navbahor Namangan vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 19
  • Referee: Shukrullayev A. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
107
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Julio Cesar 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Alibaev I. , Kojo J. (A),
  • 38', Jiyanov R. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Ismoilov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Yuldoshev I. 🟨,
  • 66', Higor Gabriel , Komilov S. ,
  • 66', Boltaboev J. , Mirsaidov S. ,
  • 66', Odilov A. , Ruziev K. ,
  • 66', Kojo J. , Nimely S. ,
  • 79', Urinboev Z. , Pedro ,
  • 80', Gofurov M. , Tozhidinov K. ,
  • 89', Ismoilov A. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 89', Alibaev I. , Gulyamov G. ,

Chances of winning


Navbahor Namangan
34.8%
Draw
29.7%
Neftchi Fargona
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 27.7% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 28.9% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Navbahor Namangan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navbahor Namangan's form might have worsened.
  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Fargona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navbahor Namangan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.08)
    3.11
    (3.25)
    2.6
    (3.1)
    8.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Neftchi Fargona (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 1.
    • Recent performances by Navbahor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Neftchi Fargona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Navbahor has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Navbahor won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan 3:2
    20.10.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan 2:2
    19.05.2024 Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona 1:0
    01.12.2023 Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona 1:1
    25.06.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan 0:0
    Latest results of Navbahor Namangan
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Andijan11004:043
    2Neftchi Fargona11003:033
    3Lok. Tashkent11003:123
    4Pakhtakor11002:023
    5Navbahor Namangan11002:113
    6Bunyodkor11001:013
    7Buxoro11001:013
    8Nasaf Qarshi11001:013
    9Din. Samarkand10011:2-10
    10OKMK10010:1-10
    11Xorazm Urganch10010:1-10
    12Kokand 191210010:1-10
    13Termez Surkhon10011:3-20
    14Qizilqum10010:2-20
    15Mashal Muborak10010:3-30
    16Sogdiana10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Pro Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga