Navbahor Namangan vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona
16/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 19
  • Referee: Shukrullayev A. (Uzb)

Chances of winning


Navbahor Namangan
36.9%
Draw
29.8%
Neftchi Fargona
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 27.7% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 28.9% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Navbahor Namangan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navbahor Namangan's form might have worsened.
  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navbahor Namangan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.08)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    2.77
    (3.1)
    8.6%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 1.
    • Recent performances by Navbahor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Neftchi Fargona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Navbahor has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Navbahor won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan 3:2
    20.10.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan 2:2
    19.05.2024 Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona 1:0
    01.12.2023 Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona 1:1
    25.06.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan 0:0
    Latest results of Navbahor Namangan
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi18107132:151737
    2Neftchi Fargona18106229:161336
    3OKMK18104426:18834
    4Din. Samarkand1897228:22634
    5Pakhtakor19103636:171933
    6Navbahor Namangan1894534:191531
    7Bunyodkor1887329:191031
    8Termez Surkhon1865717:19-223
    9Qizilqum1857616:25-922
    10Andijan1856723:25-221
    11Sogdiana1955921:24-320
    12Xorazm Urganch1854922:22019
    13Kokand 191218431113:31-1815
    14Mashal Muborak18431115:35-2015
    15Buxoro18351017:30-1314
    16Shortan Guzor18241211:32-2110

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga