Navbahor Namangan vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 19
  • Referee: Shukrullayev A. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
107
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Julio Cesar 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Alibaev I. , Kojo J. (A),
  • 38', Jiyanov R. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Ismoilov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Yuldoshev I. 🟨,
  • 66', Higor Gabriel , Komilov S. ,
  • 66', Boltaboev J. , Mirsaidov S. ,
  • 66', Odilov A. , Ruziev K. ,
  • 66', Kojo J. , Nimely S. ,
  • 79', Urinboev Z. , Pedro ,
  • 80', Gofurov M. , Tozhidinov K. ,
  • 89', Ismoilov A. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 89', Alibaev I. , Gulyamov G. ,

Chances of winning


Navbahor Namangan
34.8%
Draw
29.7%
Neftchi Fargona
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 27.7% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 28.9% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Navbahor Namangan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navbahor Namangan's form might have worsened.
  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Fargona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navbahor Namangan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.08)
    3.11
    (3.25)
    2.6
    (3.1)
    8.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Neftchi Fargona (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 1.
    • Recent performances by Navbahor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Neftchi Fargona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Navbahor has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Navbahor won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan 3:2
    20.10.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan 2:2
    19.05.2024 Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona 1:0
    01.12.2023 Navbahor Namangan - Neftchi Fargona 1:1
    25.06.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan 0:0
    Latest results of Navbahor Namangan
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neftchi Fargona1191125:32228
    2Pakhtakor1081121:111025
    3Buxoro1162315:11420
    4Navbahor Namangan1061314:8619
    5Bunyodkor1061313:10319
    6OKMK1144314:14016
    7Lok. Tashkent1042413:14-114
    8Andijan1041513:11213
    9Nasaf Qarshi1034312:11113
    10Xorazm Urganch103439:10-113
    11Qizilqum104158:14-613
    12Din. Samarkand1132617:21-411
    13Termez Surkhon1032510:17-711
    14Sogdiana1123619:25-69
    15Kokand 1912101549:15-68
    16Mashal Muborak1100114:21-170

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga