Result
1:0
24/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Wero A. ⚽,
- 45+5', Tesfaye G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Negele Arsi Ketema
31.3% | Draw
31.8% | Welwalo Adigrat
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Negele Arsi Ketema's form might have worsened.Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Welwalo Adigrat's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+19.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Welwalo Adigrat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Negele Arsi Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(1.86) |
2.9 ↓
(3.18) |
2.49 ↓
(4.28) |
8.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Negele Arsi Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Welwalo Adigrat will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Negele Arsi Ketema is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Welwalo Adigrat's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Negele Arsi Ketema is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Negele Arsi Ketema won against Welwalo Adigrat?
Negele Arsi Ketema has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Welwalo Adigrat won against Negele Arsi Ketema?
Welwalo Adigrat has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Negele Arsi Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat were as follows:
Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema
Latest results of Welwalo Adigrat
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 25:18 | 7 | 42 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Mechal | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Adama City | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Hadiya Hossana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Dire Dawa | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Welayta Dicha | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 14 | Sheger Ketema | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 15 | St. George | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 31 |
| 16 | Ethiopian Insurance | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 29 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 29 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 18:31 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
