Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II
Result
3:4 penalties
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.77
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (374/442)87% (363/418)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.962.40
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3128
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
814
Passes
85% (374/442)87% (363/418)
Long passes
51% (22/43)53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
72% (85/118)77% (76/99)
Crosses
38% (8/21)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.49
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
148
Tackles
62% (16/26)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
1626
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.401.96
Goals prevented
-0.60-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Stojadinovic M. , Ayari H. (A),
  • 11', Barry H. , Ackerman E. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Butts L. , Diarbian G. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Diarbian G. ,
  • 45+2', Hutchinson D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Sharp C. , Barrow D. ,
  • 49', 1 - 3, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 54', Henry M. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Barrow D. , Henry M. (A),
  • 64', McDonald P. , Chisholm M. ,
  • 64', Henry M. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 64', Ayari H. , Bossenberry A. ,
  • 64', Kapor S. , Ythallo ,
  • 66', Oliveira C. , Lopez I. ,
  • 72', Nolan J. , Nugent J. ,
  • 76', Hutchinson D. , Siqueira J. ,
  • 77', Fisher R. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 3, Dahlin G. (Own goal),
  • 85', Ackerman E. , Buck J. ,
  • 90+1', Souza V. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Fisher R. 🟥,
  • Penalties (8 - 9)
  • 1, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 1, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 2, Ythallo (Pen),
  • 2, Diarbian G. (Pen),
  • 3, Iliadis C. (Pen),
  • 3, Souza V. (Pen),
  • 4, Bossenberry A. (Pen),
  • 4, Mussenden J. (Pen),
  • 5, Fisher R. (Pen),
  • 5, Butts L. (Pen),
  • 6, Edwards N. (Pen),
  • 6, Buck J. (Pen),
  • 7, Nugent J. (Pen),
  • 7, Siqueira J. (Pen),
  • 8, Barrow D. (Pen),
  • 8, Emerhi G. (Pen),
  • 9, Stojadinovic M. (Pen),
  • 9, Lopez I. (Pen),
  • 10, Chisholm M. (Pen),
  • 10, Gunn J. (Pen),
  • 11, De Rosario A. (Pen),
  • 11, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 12, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 12, Souza V. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
27.8%
Draw
25.1%
New England Revolution II
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 27.1% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.
  • New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.71)
    3.67
    (3.38)
    1.96
    (2.38)
    8.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New England II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 0.
    • Toronto II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • New England II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • New England II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New England II has had a series of home games.
    • New England II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II were as follows:
    28.03.2025 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 4:0
    08.09.2024 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 3:2
    19.04.2024 Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II 1:1
    18.08.2023 Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II 0:0
    23.06.2023 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 2:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II18952244:1739
    3Chicago Fire II18922543:3233
    4New England Revolution II17841431:2133
    5Cincinnati 218470719:2326
    6Toronto FC II19704822:3025
    7New York City II19623833:3925
    8Columbus Crew 2183121219:3513


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga19833530:2933
    2Huntsville17832435:1932
    3Orlando City B19721926:3726
    4Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    5Carolina Core19444725:2724
    6Atlanta United 217326623:2919
    7Inter Miami II195031130:4418


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County191013540:3235
    2Town FC16822438:2130
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    4Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    5Portland Timbers 218622829:3424
    6Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    7Los Angeles FC II18621928:3723


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Austin FC II18634522:2128
    5Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    6Minnesota 218703828:2924
    7Sporting Kansas City II182131217:4311


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II18952244:1739
    3Chicago Fire II18922543:3233
    4New England Revolution II17841431:2133
    5Chattanooga19833530:2933
    6Huntsville17832435:1932
    7Orlando City B19721926:3726
    8Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    9Cincinnati 218470719:2326
    10Toronto FC II19704822:3025
    11New York City II19623833:3925
    12Carolina Core19444725:2724
    13Atlanta United 217326623:2919
    14Inter Miami II195031130:4418
    15Columbus Crew 2183121219:3513


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Ventura County191013540:3235
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4Town FC16822438:2130
    5North Texas18821732:3529
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    7Austin FC II18634522:2128
    8Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    9Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    10Minnesota 218703828:2924
    11Portland Timbers 218622829:3424
    12Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    13Los Angeles FC II18621928:3723
    14Sporting Kansas City II182131217:4311

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