Result
3:4 penalties
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/442) | 87% (363/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (374/442) | 87% (363/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 53% (19/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (85/118) | 77% (76/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Stojadinovic M. ⚽, Ayari H. (A),
- 11', Barry H. ↓, Ackerman E. ↑,
- 15', 1 - 1, Butts L. ⚽, Diarbian G. (A),
- 39', 1 - 2, Diarbian G. ⚽,
- 45+2', Hutchinson D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Sharp C. ↓, Barrow D. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 3, Marcos Dias (Pen),
- 54', Henry M. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 3, Barrow D. ⚽, Henry M. (A),
- 64', McDonald P. ↓, Chisholm M. ↑,
- 64', Henry M. ↓, Iliadis C. ↑,
- 64', Ayari H. ↓, Bossenberry A. ↑,
- 64', Kapor S. ↓, Ythallo ↑,
- 66', Oliveira C. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 72', Nolan J. ↓, Nugent J. ↑,
- 76', Hutchinson D. ↓, Siqueira J. ↑,
- 77', Fisher R. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 3, Dahlin G. (Own goal),
- 85', Ackerman E. ↓, Buck J. ↑,
- 90+1', Souza V. 🟨,
- 90+8', Fisher R. 🟥,
- Penalties (8 - 9)
- 1, Sullivan M. (Pen),
- 1, Marcos Dias (Pen),
- 2, Ythallo (Pen),
- 2, Diarbian G. (Pen),
- 3, Iliadis C. (Pen),
- 3, Souza V. (Pen),
- 4, Bossenberry A. (Pen),
- 4, Mussenden J. (Pen),
- 5, Fisher R. (Pen),
- 5, Butts L. (Pen),
- 6, Edwards N. (Pen),
- 6, Buck J. (Pen),
- 7, Nugent J. (Pen),
- 7, Siqueira J. (Pen),
- 8, Barrow D. (Pen),
- 8, Emerhi G. (Pen),
- 9, Stojadinovic M. (Pen),
- 9, Lopez I. (Pen),
- 10, Chisholm M. (Pen),
- 10, Gunn J. (Pen),
- 11, De Rosario A. (Pen),
- 11, Marcos Dias (Pen),
- 12, Sullivan M. (Pen),
- 12, Souza V. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Toronto FC II
27.8% | Draw
25.1% | New England Revolution II
47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution II's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.71) |
3.67 ↑
(3.38) |
1.96 ↓
(2.38) |
8.5%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New England II (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 0.
- Toronto II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- New England II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- New England II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, New England II has had a series of home games.
- New England II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC II won against New England Revolution II?
Toronto FC II has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New England Revolution II won against Toronto FC II?
New England Revolution II has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II were as follows:
28.03.2025
New England Revolution II
-
Toronto FC II
4:0
08.09.2024
New England Revolution II
-
Toronto FC II
3:2
19.04.2024
Toronto FC II
-
New England Revolution II
1:1
18.08.2023
Toronto FC II
-
New England Revolution II
0:0
23.06.2023
New England Revolution II
-
Toronto FC II
2:1
Latest results of Toronto FC II
Latest results of New England Revolution II
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 22 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 53:46 | 45 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 22 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 47:23 | 43 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire II | 21 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 54:36 | 41 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 20 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 37:26 | 38 |
| 5 | Toronto FC II | 23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 28:36 | 33 |
| 6 | New York City II | 23 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 44:46 | 32 |
| 7 | Cincinnati 2 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 25:31 | 29 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 25:47 | 17 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Huntsville | 22 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 46:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 23 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 35:33 | 41 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 23 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 32:46 | 30 |
| 4 | Carolina Core | 23 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 31:33 | 30 |
| 5 | Crown Legacy | 23 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 39:44 | 29 |
| 6 | Atlanta United 2 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 29:34 | 25 |
| 7 | Inter Miami II | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 34:53 | 22 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Town FC | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:26 | 42 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 22 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 44:40 | 37 |
| 3 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 35:33 | 32 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 47:43 | 31 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 50:51 | 27 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 22 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 35:48 | 26 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers 2 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 32:39 | 25 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 50:30 | 51 |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 45:34 | 42 |
| 3 | Austin FC II | 22 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 29:28 | 35 |
| 4 | Minnesota 2 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 34:34 | 31 |
| 5 | North Texas | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 35:43 | 31 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 32:37 | 29 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 21:52 | 11 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 22 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 53:46 | 45 |
| 2 | Huntsville | 22 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 46:25 | 43 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II | 22 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 47:23 | 43 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire II | 21 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 54:36 | 41 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 23 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 35:33 | 41 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II | 20 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 37:26 | 38 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 28:36 | 33 |
| 8 | New York City II | 23 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 44:46 | 32 |
| 9 | Orlando City B | 23 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 32:46 | 30 |
| 10 | Carolina Core | 23 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 31:33 | 30 |
| 11 | Crown Legacy | 23 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 39:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Cincinnati 2 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 25:31 | 29 |
| 13 | Atlanta United 2 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 29:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Inter Miami II | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 34:53 | 22 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 25:47 | 17 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 50:30 | 51 |
| 2 | Town FC | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:26 | 42 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 45:34 | 42 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 22 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 44:40 | 37 |
| 5 | Austin FC II | 22 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 29:28 | 35 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 20 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 35:33 | 32 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 47:43 | 31 |
| 8 | Minnesota 2 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 34:34 | 31 |
| 9 | North Texas | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 35:43 | 31 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 32:37 | 29 |
| 11 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 50:51 | 27 |
| 12 | Los Angeles FC II | 22 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 35:48 | 26 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers 2 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 32:39 | 25 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 21:52 | 11 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
