Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II
Result
3:4 penalties
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.77
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (374/442)87% (363/418)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.962.40
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3128
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
814
Passes
85% (374/442)87% (363/418)
Long passes
51% (22/43)53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
72% (85/118)77% (76/99)
Crosses
38% (8/21)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.49
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
148
Tackles
62% (16/26)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
1626
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.401.96
Goals prevented
-0.60-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Stojadinovic M. , Ayari H. (A),
  • 11', Barry H. , Ackerman E. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Butts L. , Diarbian G. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Diarbian G. ,
  • 45+2', Hutchinson D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Sharp C. , Barrow D. ,
  • 49', 1 - 3, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 54', Henry M. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Barrow D. , Henry M. (A),
  • 64', McDonald P. , Chisholm M. ,
  • 64', Henry M. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 64', Ayari H. , Bossenberry A. ,
  • 64', Kapor S. , Ythallo ,
  • 66', Oliveira C. , Lopez I. ,
  • 72', Nolan J. , Nugent J. ,
  • 76', Hutchinson D. , Siqueira J. ,
  • 77', Fisher R. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 3, Dahlin G. (Own goal),
  • 85', Ackerman E. , Buck J. ,
  • 90+1', Souza V. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Fisher R. 🟥,
  • Penalties (8 - 9)
  • 1, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 1, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 2, Ythallo (Pen),
  • 2, Diarbian G. (Pen),
  • 3, Iliadis C. (Pen),
  • 3, Souza V. (Pen),
  • 4, Bossenberry A. (Pen),
  • 4, Mussenden J. (Pen),
  • 5, Fisher R. (Pen),
  • 5, Butts L. (Pen),
  • 6, Edwards N. (Pen),
  • 6, Buck J. (Pen),
  • 7, Nugent J. (Pen),
  • 7, Siqueira J. (Pen),
  • 8, Barrow D. (Pen),
  • 8, Emerhi G. (Pen),
  • 9, Stojadinovic M. (Pen),
  • 9, Lopez I. (Pen),
  • 10, Chisholm M. (Pen),
  • 10, Gunn J. (Pen),
  • 11, De Rosario A. (Pen),
  • 11, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 12, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 12, Souza V. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
27.8%
Draw
25.1%
New England Revolution II
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 27.1% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.
  • New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.71)
    3.67
    (3.38)
    1.96
    (2.38)
    8.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New England II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 0.
    • Toronto II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • New England II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • New England II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New England II has had a series of home games.
    • New England II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II were as follows:
    28.03.2025 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 4:0
    08.09.2024 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 3:2
    19.04.2024 Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II 1:1
    18.08.2023 Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II 0:0
    23.06.2023 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 2:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    6New York City II15522628:3121
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga16822424:2130
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2North Texas16721628:3126
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4Austin FC II15533417:1624
    5Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chattanooga16822424:2130
    4Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    5New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    6Huntsville13532327:1623
    7Orlando City B15611721:2721
    8Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    9New York City II15522628:3121
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    12Carolina Core15324620:2117
    13Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II15533417:1624
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    9Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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