Result
3:4 penalties
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.65 | 1.77 |
Ball Possession |
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51% | 49% |
Total shots |
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16 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 8 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 2 |
Passes |
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85% (374/442) | 87% (363/418) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.65 | 1.77 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.96 | 2.40 |
Total shots |
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16 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 8 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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8 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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31 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 14 |
Passes |
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85% (374/442) | 87% (363/418) |
Long passes |
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51% (22/43) | 53% (19/36) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (85/118) | 77% (76/99) |
Crosses |
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38% (8/21) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.24 | 0.49 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 16 |
Fouls |
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14 | 8 |
Tackles |
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62% (16/26) | 62% (13/21) |
Duels won |
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42 | 51 |
Clearances |
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16 | 26 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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2.40 | 1.96 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.60 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Stojadinovic M. ⚽, Ayari H. (A),
- 11', Barry H. ↓, Ackerman E. ↑,
- 15', 1 - 1, Butts L. ⚽, Diarbian G. (A),
- 39', 1 - 2, Diarbian G. ⚽,
- 45+2', Hutchinson D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Sharp C. ↓, Barrow D. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 3, Marcos Dias (Pen),
- 54', Henry M. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 3, Barrow D. ⚽, Henry M. (A),
- 64', McDonald P. ↓, Chisholm M. ↑,
- 64', Henry M. ↓, Iliadis C. ↑,
- 64', Ayari H. ↓, Bossenberry A. ↑,
- 64', Kapor S. ↓, Ythallo ↑,
- 66', Oliveira C. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 72', Nolan J. ↓, Nugent J. ↑,
- 76', Hutchinson D. ↓, Siqueira J. ↑,
- 77', Fisher R. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 3, Dahlin G. (Own goal),
- 85', Ackerman E. ↓, Buck J. ↑,
- 90+1', Souza V. 🟨,
- 90+8', Fisher R. 🟥,
- Penalties (8 - 9)
- 1, Sullivan M. (Pen),
- 1, Marcos Dias (Pen),
- 2, Ythallo (Pen),
- 2, Diarbian G. (Pen),
- 3, Iliadis C. (Pen),
- 3, Souza V. (Pen),
- 4, Bossenberry A. (Pen),
- 4, Mussenden J. (Pen),
- 5, Fisher R. (Pen),
- 5, Butts L. (Pen),
- 6, Edwards N. (Pen),
- 6, Buck J. (Pen),
- 7, Nugent J. (Pen),
- 7, Siqueira J. (Pen),
- 8, Barrow D. (Pen),
- 8, Emerhi G. (Pen),
- 9, Stojadinovic M. (Pen),
- 9, Lopez I. (Pen),
- 10, Chisholm M. (Pen),
- 10, Gunn J. (Pen),
- 11, De Rosario A. (Pen),
- 11, Marcos Dias (Pen),
- 12, Sullivan M. (Pen),
- 12, Souza V. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Toronto FC II 27.8% | Draw 25.1% | New England Revolution II 47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution II's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.32 ↑ (2.71) |
3.67 ↑ (3.38) |
1.96 ↓ (2.38) |
8.5% (8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New England II (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 0.
- Toronto II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- New England II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- New England II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, New England II has had a series of home games.
- New England II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC II won against New England Revolution II?
Toronto FC II has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New England Revolution II won against Toronto FC II?
New England Revolution II has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II were as follows:
28.03.2025
New England Revolution II
-
Toronto FC II
4:0
08.09.2024
New England Revolution II
-
Toronto FC II
3:2
19.04.2024
Toronto FC II
-
New England Revolution II
1:1
18.08.2023
Toronto FC II
-
New England Revolution II
0:0
23.06.2023
New England Revolution II
-
Toronto FC II
2:1
Latest results of Toronto FC II
Latest results of New England Revolution II
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 44:17 | 39 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 43:32 | 33 |
4 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 31:21 | 33 |
5 | Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19:23 | 26 |
6 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 22:30 | 25 |
7 | New York City II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 33:39 | 25 |
8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19:35 | 13 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Chattanooga | 19 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 30:29 | 33 |
2 | Huntsville | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 35:19 | 32 |
3 | Orlando City B | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 26:37 | 26 |
4 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 30:35 | 26 |
5 | Carolina Core | 19 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:27 | 24 |
6 | Atlanta United 2 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 23:29 | 19 |
7 | Inter Miami II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 30:44 | 18 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Ventura County | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40:32 | 35 |
2 | Town FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 38:21 | 30 |
3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 41:36 | 28 |
4 | Real Monarchs | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:31 | 26 |
5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 29:34 | 24 |
6 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
7 | Los Angeles FC II | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 28:37 | 23 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41:25 | 43 |
2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 34:30 | 32 |
3 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 32:35 | 29 |
4 | Austin FC II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 28 |
5 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 27:29 | 25 |
6 | Minnesota 2 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 28:29 | 24 |
7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:43 | 11 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 44:17 | 39 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 43:32 | 33 |
4 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 31:21 | 33 |
5 | Chattanooga | 19 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 30:29 | 33 |
6 | Huntsville | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 35:19 | 32 |
7 | Orlando City B | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 26:37 | 26 |
8 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 30:35 | 26 |
9 | Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19:23 | 26 |
10 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 22:30 | 25 |
11 | New York City II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 33:39 | 25 |
12 | Carolina Core | 19 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:27 | 24 |
13 | Atlanta United 2 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 23:29 | 19 |
14 | Inter Miami II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 30:44 | 18 |
15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19:35 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41:25 | 43 |
2 | Ventura County | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40:32 | 35 |
3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 34:30 | 32 |
4 | Town FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 38:21 | 30 |
5 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 32:35 | 29 |
6 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 41:36 | 28 |
7 | Austin FC II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 28 |
8 | Real Monarchs | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:31 | 26 |
9 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 27:29 | 25 |
10 | Minnesota 2 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 28:29 | 24 |
11 | Portland Timbers 2 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 29:34 | 24 |
12 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
13 | Los Angeles FC II | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 28:37 | 23 |
14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)