New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer US Open Cup New England Revolution - Chicago Fire
Result
1:3
20/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : US Open Cup - 1/8-finals
New England Revolution - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.230.33
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
79% (272/343)85% (518/608)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.230.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.281.07
Total shots
104
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
22
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
918
Passes
79% (272/343)85% (518/608)
Long passes
57% (26/46)63% (49/78)
Passes in final third
74% (73/98)72% (93/129)
Crosses
16% (3/19)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.38
Throw-ins
2419
Fouls
189
Tackles
73% (8/11)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3247
Clearances
1016
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.070.28
Goals prevented
-0.930.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Klein E. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', D'Avilla D. , Gutierrez B. ,
  • 60', Hughes K. 🟨,
  • 66', Omsberg W. 🟨,
  • 67', Butts L. , Diarbian G. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Cuypers H. ,
  • 70', Bamba J. , Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 70', Cuypers H. , Barlow T. ,
  • 75', Oliveira C. , Marcos Dias ,
  • 75', Omsberg W. , Souza V. ,
  • 76', Glasgow O. 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 82', Gutman A. , Reynolds J. ,
  • 82', Elliott J. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 82', Yueill J. , Monis A. ,
  • 82', Hughes K. , Barry H. ,
  • 89', 1 - 3, Reynolds J. (Own goal),
  • 90+4', Klein E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
28.2%
Draw
25.3%
Chicago Fire
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 26.8% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 26.1% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Revolution's form might have worsened.
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Fire's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Revolution, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New England Revolution - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.41)
    3.7
    (3.48)
    2.02
    (2.7)
    7.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. New England (votes: 2 - 40%). Chicago (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Recently, New England has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New England won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Chicago Fire - New England Revolution 0:1
    23.03.2024 New England Revolution - Chicago Fire 1:1
    23.09.2023 Chicago Fire - New England Revolution 2:2
    27.05.2023 New England Revolution - Chicago Fire 3:3
    09.10.2022 Chicago Fire - New England Revolution 1:1
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Draw
    2025

    1/128-finals
    1Louisville CityBye
    3West Chester UtdLoudoun2 : 3
    4Richmond KickersVirginia Dream1 : 3
    8ByeMinnesota United
    9St. Louis CityBye
    13Sporting Kansas City IIMenace1 : 2
    14FlatironsUnion Omaha1 : 2
    16ByeSan Antonio
    17Hartford AthleticNew York Shockers3 : 0
    18Portland Hearts of PineFaialense4 : 0
    20ByeRhode Island
    24ByeNew England Revolution
    25Chicago FireBye
    29DetroitBye
    31MotownWestchester SC
    32Cincinnati 2New York Pancyprian0 : 1
    33Tacoma DefianceWashington AC3 : 1
    34BallardSpokane Velocity0 : 1
    36ByeOakland Roots
    40ByePortland Timbers
    41Sacramento RepublicBye
    43Monterey BayInternational SF4 : 0
    44Real MonarchsEl Farolito1 : 3
    48ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    49Forward MadisonDuluth FC5 : 1
    50Tulsa AthleticFC Tulsa0 : 1
    52ByePhoenix Rising
    56ByeHouston Dynamo
    57Austin FCBye
    61New MexicoBye
    63Ventura CountyLaguna United7 : 0
    64El PasoHarpos5 : 1
    65Philadelphia UnionBye
    69Indy ElevenBye
    71Inter Miami IIMiami United4 : 2
    72Miami FCNaples United4 : 1
    73Columbus Crew 2NY Renegades4 : 1
    74LexingtonSouthern Indiana5 : 0
    76ByePittsburgh
    80ByeNew York City
    81Colorado SpringsBye
    83Asheville CityGreenville0 : 1
    84AppalachianOne Knoxville0 : 3
    88ByeNew York Red Bulls
    89FC DallasBye
    93AV AltaVentura3 : 1
    94Los Angeles FC IIArizona FC7 : 1
    96ByeOrange County SC
    97Sarasota ParadiseFC Naples1 : 2
    98Little Rock RangersBirmingham1 : 0
    100ByeTampa Bay
    104ByeOrlando City
    105Nashville SCBye
    109Las Vegas LightsBye
    111ChattanoogaCorpus Christi FC1 : 0
    112New Jersey AllianceChattanooga Red Wolves2 : 3
    113Long IslandCharlotte Independ.2 : 3
    114Carolina CoreSoda City4 : 2
    116ByeNorth Carolina
    120ByeCharlotte
    121DC UnitedBye
    125CharlestonBye
    127TormentaHarbor City3 : 0
    128TexomaForo1 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1Louisville CityBye
    2LoudounVirginia Dream4 : 2
    4ByeMinnesota United
    5St. Louis CityBye
    7MenaceUnion Omaha1 : 2
    8ByeSan Antonio
    9Hartford AthleticPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 2
    10ByeRhode Island
    12ByeNew England Revolution
    13Chicago FireBye
    15DetroitBye
    16Westchester SCNew York Pancyprian3 : 2
    17Tacoma DefianceSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeOakland Roots
    20ByePortland Timbers
    21Sacramento RepublicBye
    22Monterey BayEl Farolito1 : 2
    24ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    25Forward MadisonFC Tulsa1 : 3
    26ByePhoenix Rising
    28ByeHouston Dynamo
    29Austin FCBye
    31New MexicoBye
    32Ventura CountyEl Paso0 : 3
    33Philadelphia UnionBye
    35Indy ElevenBye
    36Inter Miami IIMiami FC0 : 1
    37Columbus Crew 2Lexington3 : 0
    38ByePittsburgh
    40ByeNew York City
    41Colorado SpringsBye
    42GreenvilleOne Knoxville1 : 3
    44ByeNew York Red Bulls
    45FC DallasBye
    47AV AltaLos Angeles FC II2 : 1
    48ByeOrange County SC
    49FC NaplesLittle Rock Rangers3 : 0
    50ByeTampa Bay
    52ByeOrlando City
    53Nashville SCBye
    55Las Vegas LightsBye
    56ChattanoogaChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 2
    57Charlotte Independ.Carolina Core2 : 1
    58ByeNorth Carolina
    60ByeCharlotte
    61DC UnitedBye
    63CharlestonBye
    64TormentaForo3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Louisville CityLoudoun2 : 1
    2ByeMinnesota United
    3St. Louis CityBye
    4Union OmahaSan Antonio1 : 0
    5Portland Hearts of PineRhode Island1 : 2
    6ByeNew England Revolution
    7Chicago FireBye
    8DetroitWestchester SC3 : 1
    9Tacoma DefianceOakland Roots2 : 1
    10ByePortland Timbers
    11Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito1 : 0
    12ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    13FC TulsaPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    14ByeHouston Dynamo
    15Austin FCBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso2 : 3
    17Philadelphia UnionBye
    18Indy ElevenMiami FC1 : 0
    19Columbus Crew 2Pittsburgh0 : 1
    20ByeNew York City
    21Colorado SpringsOne Knoxville3 : 2
    22ByeNew York Red Bulls
    23FC DallasBye
    24AV AltaOrange County SC3 : 2
    25FC NaplesTampa Bay1 : 2
    26ByeOrlando City
    27Nashville SCBye
    28Las Vegas LightsChattanooga Red Wolves2 : 3
    29Charlotte Independ.North Carolina1 : 3
    30ByeCharlotte
    31DC UnitedBye
    32CharlestonTormenta4 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Louisville CityMinnesota United0 : 1
    2St. Louis CityUnion Omaha2 : 0
    3Rhode IslandNew England Revolution1 : 2
    4Chicago FireDetroit4 : 0
    5Tacoma DefiancePortland Timbers2 : 3
    6Sacramento RepublicSan Jose Earthquakes1 : 2
    7Phoenix RisingHouston Dynamo1 : 4
    8Austin FCEl Paso3 : 2
    9Philadelphia UnionIndy Eleven2 : 1
    10PittsburghNew York City1 : 0
    11Colorado SpringsNew York Red Bulls1 : 4
    12FC DallasAV Alta3 : 1
    13Tampa BayOrlando City0 : 5
    14Nashville SCChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    15North CarolinaCharlotte1 : 4
    16DC UnitedCharleston2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Minnesota UnitedSt. Louis City3 : 2
    2New England RevolutionChicago Fire1 : 3
    3Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes0 : 1
    4Houston DynamoAustin FC1 : 3
    5Philadelphia UnionPittsburgh4 : 1
    6New York Red BullsFC Dallas3 : 2
    7Orlando CityNashville SC2 : 3
    8CharlotteDC United3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Minnesota UnitedChicago Fire3 : 1
    2San Jose EarthquakesAustin FC2 : 3
    3Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls
    4Nashville SCDC United5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Minnesota UnitedAustin FC
    2TBD #3Nashville SC

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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