New England Revolution vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
0:0
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.45
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (325/416)73% (249/341)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.030.11
Total shots
812
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (325/416)73% (249/341)
Long passes
42% (27/65)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)51% (37/73)
Crosses
22% (2/9)53% (8/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.03
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1416
Tackles
64% (14/22)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6155
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.110.03
Goals prevented
0.110.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Ceballos B. 🟨,
  • 32', Campana L. , Diaz L. ,
  • 35', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Daniel , Edwards E. ,
  • 59', Pellegrino A. , Bouda O. ,
  • 59', Fernandez N. , Leroux B. ,
  • 59', Ricketts J. , Jones D. ,
  • 65', Beason T. 🟨,
  • 76', Feingold I. , Bye B. ,
  • 76', Ganago I. , Urruti M. ,
  • 78', Leroux B. 🟨,
  • 82', Lima N. 🟨,
  • 84', Beason T. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 86', Marie P. , Martinez J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
58.5%
Draw
21.4%
San Jose Earthquakes
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 26.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 24.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New England Revolution's performance.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New England Revolution that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Earthquakes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (2.3)
    4.47
    (3.5)
    4.74
    (2.8)
    4.1%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: New England Revolution will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New England Revolution will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.
    • New England has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Jose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New England has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, New England is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in New England: Fry M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Lower-Body Injury) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Chancalay T. (Groin Injury) Langoni L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New England won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2