New England Revolution vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
0:0
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.45
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (325/416)73% (249/341)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.030.11
Total shots
812
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (325/416)73% (249/341)
Long passes
42% (27/65)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)51% (37/73)
Crosses
22% (2/9)53% (8/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.03
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1416
Tackles
64% (14/22)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6155
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.110.03
Goals prevented
0.110.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Ceballos B. 🟨,
  • 32', Campana L. , Diaz L. ,
  • 35', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Daniel , Edwards E. ,
  • 59', Pellegrino A. , Bouda O. ,
  • 59', Fernandez N. , Leroux B. ,
  • 59', Ricketts J. , Jones D. ,
  • 65', Beason T. 🟨,
  • 76', Feingold I. , Bye B. ,
  • 76', Ganago I. , Urruti M. ,
  • 78', Leroux B. 🟨,
  • 82', Lima N. 🟨,
  • 84', Beason T. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 86', Marie P. , Martinez J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
58.5%
Draw
21.4%
San Jose Earthquakes
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 26.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 24.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New England Revolution's performance.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New England Revolution that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Earthquakes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (2.3)
    4.47
    (3.5)
    4.74
    (2.8)
    4.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: New England Revolution will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New England Revolution will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.
    • New England has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Jose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New England has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, New England is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in New England: Fry M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Lower-Body Injury) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Chancalay T. (Groin Injury) Langoni L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New England won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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