New England Revolution vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.45
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (325/416)73% (249/341)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.251.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.030.11
Total shots
812
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (325/416)73% (249/341)
Long passes
42% (27/65)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
60% (52/86)51% (37/73)
Crosses
22% (2/9)53% (8/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.03
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1416
Tackles
64% (14/22)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6155
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.110.03
Goals prevented
0.110.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Ceballos B. 🟨,
  • 32', Campana L. , Diaz L. ,
  • 35', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Daniel , Edwards E. ,
  • 59', Pellegrino A. , Bouda O. ,
  • 59', Fernandez N. , Leroux B. ,
  • 59', Ricketts J. , Jones D. ,
  • 65', Beason T. 🟨,
  • 76', Feingold I. , Bye B. ,
  • 76', Ganago I. , Urruti M. ,
  • 78', Leroux B. 🟨,
  • 82', Lima N. 🟨,
  • 84', Beason T. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 86', Marie P. , Martinez J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
58.5%
Draw
21.4%
San Jose Earthquakes
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 26.5% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 24.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New England Revolution's performance.
  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New England Revolution that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Earthquakes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (2.3)
    4.47
    (3.5)
    4.74
    (2.8)
    4.1%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for New England Revolution - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - New England (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: New England Revolution will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New England Revolution will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. New England (votes: 11 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.
    • New England has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Jose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New England has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, New England is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in New England: Fry M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Lower-Body Injury) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in New England: Chancalay T. (Groin Injury) Langoni L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New England won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    Latest results of New England Revolution
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)