Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Cup
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (416/473) | 76% (218/287) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (416/473) | 76% (218/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 34% (19/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (107/132) | 50% (34/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 100% (13/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Desdunes J. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Aoumaich A. ⚽, Ortiz C. (A),
- 21', Alassane M. 🟨,
- 28', Aoumaich I. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 1, Harris D. ⚽, Hurst G. (A),
- 37', Lay O. 🟨,
- 45+3', LaCava J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Pehlivanov K. 🟨,
- 57', Bailey Z. 🟨,
- 57', Harris D. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
- 57', Noel V. ↓, Wilkerson C. ↑,
- 61', Aoumaich A. ↓, Bahena Jr C. ↑,
- 61', Anderson C. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
- 64', Desdunes J. 🟨,
- 70', Jabang O. ↓, Zelalem G. ↑,
- 70', LaCava J. ↓, Blackett T. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Rennicks J. ⚽,
- 78', Howell M. 🟨,
- 81', Lay O. ↓, Villalobos J. ↑,
- 81', Alassane M. ↓, Thomas R. ↑,
- 86', Pajaro M. 🟨,
- 90', Hurst G. ↓, Nava C. ↑,
Chances of winning
New Mexico United
55.3% | Draw
25% | AV Alta
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AV Alta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
New Mexico United - AV Alta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.48) |
3.63 ↓
(4.1) |
4.6 ↓
(6.45) |
10.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- New Mexico has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Alta has had a series of home games.
- In this match, New Mexico is the team to beat.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against AV Alta?
New Mexico United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AV Alta won against New Mexico United?
AV Alta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - AV Alta were as follows:
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of AV Alta
