New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/05/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
40.5%
Draw
26.7%
El Paso Locomotive
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 26.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 26.1% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.12)
    3.44
    (3.43)
    2.81
    (3.08)
    8.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • New Mexico could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    01.04.2026 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 0:4
    03.05.2025 El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United 3:0
    16.04.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 2:3
    22.03.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 1:0
    27.07.2024 El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United 1:2
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7FC Tulsa833211:9212
    8Colorado Springs723215:1329
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay80264:15-112

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)