Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (276/351) | 85% (479/563) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (276/351) | 85% (479/563) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (82/118) | 71% (94/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Gnaulati X. ⚽, Scott T. (A),
- 56', Scott T. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
- 69', Gallaway P. 🟨,
- 70', Hurst G. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 70', Harris D. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
- 76', Gloster C. 🟨,
- 77', Gnaulati X. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
- 77', Klein J. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
- 80', Rivas S. ↓, Zelalem G. ↑,
- 80', Jabang O. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
- 85', Seymore W. 🟨,
- 86', Vargas M. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Archimede L. ⚽, Amang T. (A),
- 90+9', Guzman C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
37.3% | Draw
26.6% | New Mexico United
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Monterey Bay - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.53) |
3.5 ↑
(3.36) |
2.58 ↑
(2.52) |
7.3%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2.
- Recent form of Monterey Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- New Mexico has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against New Mexico United?
Monterey Bay has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Monterey Bay?
New Mexico United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - New Mexico United were as follows:
23.04.2025
New Mexico United
-
Monterey Bay
1:0
17.08.2024
New Mexico United
-
Monterey Bay
3:2
02.06.2024
Monterey Bay
-
New Mexico United
1:0
13.05.2023
New Mexico United
-
Monterey Bay
2:1
08.04.2023
Monterey Bay
-
New Mexico United
4:2
Latest results of Monterey Bay
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
