New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship New Mexico United - Monterey Bay
Result
1:0
23/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.32
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
85% (382/450)80% (276/343)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.640.00
Total shots
126
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2111
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
85% (382/450)80% (276/343)
Long passes
36% (19/53)34% (16/47)
Passes in final third
73% (96/131)59% (40/68)
Crosses
14% (2/14)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.44
Fouls
1714
Tackles
57% (8/14)83% (10/12)
Duels won
3639
Clearances Total
1120
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.000.64
Goals prevented
0.00-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Seymore W. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Jabang O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lyons M. , Guediri S. ,
  • 61', Fehr M. , Sojberg A. ,
  • 61', Malango M. , Larsson A. ,
  • 62', Gallaway P. , Lara A. ,
  • 75', Jabang O. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 75', Luiz Fernando , Gaines M. ,
  • 80', Fonguck W. , Bryant E. ,
  • 81', Zelalem G. , Bruce D. ,
  • 86', Vargas M. , Herbert A. ,
  • 90+3', Stewart J. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
55.2%
Draw
25.4%
Monterey Bay
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 26.1% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 25.3% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • New Mexico United - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.79)
    3.63
    (3.54)
    4.78
    (4.14)
    8.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 3.
    • New Mexico is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Monterey Bay is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • New Mexico will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    17.08.2024 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 3:2
    02.06.2024 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 1:0
    13.05.2023 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 2:1
    08.04.2023 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 4:2
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )