Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Monterey Bay - New Mexico United
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.671.36
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
79% (276/351)85% (479/563)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.671.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.25
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
79% (276/351)85% (479/563)
Long passes
37% (21/57)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
69% (82/118)71% (94/133)
Crosses
13% (2/15)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.70
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
1012
Tackles
64% (7/11)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4240
Clearances
1525
Interceptions
152
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.250.96
Goals prevented
-0.75-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Gnaulati X. , Scott T. (A),
  • 56', Scott T. , Ivanovic L. ,
  • 69', Gallaway P. 🟨,
  • 70', Hurst G. , Archimede L. ,
  • 70', Harris D. , Akale M. ,
  • 76', Gloster C. 🟨,
  • 77', Gnaulati X. , Sojberg A. ,
  • 77', Klein J. , Malango M. ,
  • 80', Rivas S. , Zelalem G. ,
  • 80', Jabang O. , Moguel C. ,
  • 85', Seymore W. 🟨,
  • 86', Vargas M. , Amang T. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Archimede L. , Amang T. (A),
  • 90+9', Guzman C. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
37.3%
Draw
26.6%
New Mexico United
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 27.3% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Monterey Bay - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.53)
    3.5
    (3.36)
    2.58
    (2.52)
    7.3%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2.
    • Recent form of Monterey Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • New Mexico has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - New Mexico United were as follows:
    23.04.2025 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 1:0
    17.08.2024 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 3:2
    02.06.2024 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 1:0
    13.05.2023 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 2:1
    08.04.2023 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 4:2
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 30227156:193773
    2Charleston ✔ 30195662:323062
    3North Carolina ✔ 301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic ✔ 301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh ✔ 301281032:28444
    6Loudoun ✔ 301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 30169550:302057
    2New Mexico ✔ 301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )