Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (385/464) | 78% (225/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (385/464) | 78% (225/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/59) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (61/92) | 58% (60/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.35 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Bailey Z. 🟨,
- 38', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 1, Bennett K. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
- 57', Djedje R. 🟨,
- 65', Amang T. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 65', Akale M. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
- 66', Archimede L. 🟨,
- 69', 0 - 2, Bennett K. ⚽,
- 73', Lopez R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
- 73', Djedje R. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
- 74', Seymore W. ↓, Maples T. ↑,
- 74', Jabang O. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
- 74', Gloster C. ↓, Ryden K. ↑,
- 83', Parano C. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 89', Desmond L. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
- 90', Bennett K. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 90+1', Ukaegbu C. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
New Mexico United
38.5% | Draw
29.6% | Sacramento Republic
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.73) |
3.14 ↑
(3.08) |
2.91 ↑
(2.55) |
7.8%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 1.
- New Mexico has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sacramento Republic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, New Mexico has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Sacramento Republic?
New Mexico United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against New Mexico United?
Sacramento Republic has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
08.03.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
New Mexico United
2:1
29.09.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
New Mexico United
4:0
18.09.2024
New Mexico United
-
Sacramento Republic
3:1
21.10.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
New Mexico United
1:0
20.09.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
New Mexico United
0:0
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
