New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque, NM).

USL Championship
Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.12	0.72
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
7	9
Shots on target
1	6
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
83% (385/464)	78% (225/290)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.12	0.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.08	0.65
Total shots
7	9
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
1	6
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
8	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
20	13
Passes
83% (385/464)	78% (225/290)
Long passes
41% (24/59)	37% (21/57)
Passes in final third
66% (61/92)	58% (60/104)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.57
Throw-ins
14	17
Fouls
13	20
Tackles
80% (4/5)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
42	41
Clearances
14	14
Interceptions
3	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
0.65	0.08
Goals prevented
-1.35	0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Bailey Z. 🟨,
38', Lopez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Bennett K. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
57', Djedje R. 🟨,
65', Amang T. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
65', Akale M. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
66', Archimede L. 🟨,
69', 0 - 2, Bennett K. ⚽,
73', Lopez R. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
73', Djedje R. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
74', Seymore W. ↓, Maples T. ↑,
74', Jabang O. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
74', Gloster C. ↓, Ryden K. ↑,
83', Parano C. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
89', Desmond L. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
90', Bennett K. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
90+1', Ukaegbu C. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

New Mexico United
38.5%

Draw
29.6%

Sacramento Republic
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.9%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29.8%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.73)	3.14 ↑ (3.08)	2.91 ↑ (2.55)	7.8% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 1.
New Mexico has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sacramento Republic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, New Mexico has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Sacramento Republic?

New Mexico United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against New Mexico United?

Sacramento Republic has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic were as follows:

08.03.2025 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 2:1

29.09.2024 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 4:0

18.09.2024 New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic 3:1

21.10.2023 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 1:0

20.09.2023 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 0:0

Latest results of New Mexico United

23.08.2025 Louisville City - New Mexico United 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights 2:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Tulsa - New Mexico United 5:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United 4:0 ✺

26.07.2025 San Antonio - New Mexico United 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

23.08.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Loudoun United - Sacramento Republic 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots 3:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

02.08.2025 San Antonio - Sacramento Republic 1:3 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)