New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic
Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.120.72
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
83% (385/464)78% (225/290)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.120.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.080.65
Total shots
79
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
16
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2013
Passes
83% (385/464)78% (225/290)
Long passes
41% (24/59)37% (21/57)
Passes in final third
66% (61/92)58% (60/104)
Crosses
23% (3/13)14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.57
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
1320
Tackles
80% (4/5)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
1414
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.650.08
Goals prevented
-1.350.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Bailey Z. 🟨,
  • 38', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Bennett K. , Lopez R. (A),
  • 57', Djedje R. 🟨,
  • 65', Amang T. , Archimede L. ,
  • 65', Akale M. , Harris D. ,
  • 66', Archimede L. 🟨,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Bennett K. ,
  • 73', Lopez R. , Willey B. ,
  • 73', Djedje R. , Spaulding R. ,
  • 74', Seymore W. , Maples T. ,
  • 74', Jabang O. , Rivas S. ,
  • 74', Gloster C. , Ryden K. ,
  • 83', Parano C. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 89', Desmond L. , Ukaegbu C. ,
  • 90', Bennett K. , Herrera J. ,
  • 90+1', Ukaegbu C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
38.5%
Draw
29.6%
Sacramento Republic
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 29.9% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 29.8% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.73)
    3.14
    (3.08)
    2.91
    (2.55)
    7.8%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 1.
    • New Mexico has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, New Mexico has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 2:1
    29.09.2024 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 4:0
    18.09.2024 New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic 3:1
    21.10.2023 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 1:0
    20.09.2023 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 0:0
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )