Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (400/458) | 85% (454/536) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (400/458) | 85% (454/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (19/35) | 48% (31/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (72/98) | 72% (108/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Mercau N. 🟨,
- 43', Perea A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Smith B. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽, Moralez M. (A),
- 61', Wolf H. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
- 64', Ojeda A. 🟨,
- 70', Powell A. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 70', Anunga T. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 81', Moralez M. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 82', Mboma K. ↓, Kubo Y. ↑,
- 89', O'Toole K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
45.3% | Draw
25.6% | New York City
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cincinnati - New York City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.72) |
3.63 ↓
(4.33) |
3.31 ↓
(4.08) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - New York City?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 3 - 60%). NY City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cincinnati may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cincinnati will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Kubo Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Thigh Injury)
Orellano L.
(Muscle Injury)
Sergio Santos
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N.
(Leg Injury)
Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
Thiago Martins
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against New York City?
Cincinnati has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Cincinnati?
New York City has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - New York City were as follows:
04.05.2025
New York City
-
Cincinnati
1:0
09.11.2024
Cincinnati
-
New York City
0:1
02.11.2024
New York City
-
Cincinnati
3:1
28.10.2024
Cincinnati
-
New York City
1:0
02.10.2024
New York City
-
Cincinnati
3:2
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of New York City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
