Cincinnati vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.98
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (400/458)85% (454/536)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.51
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
118
Passes
87% (400/458)85% (454/536)
Long passes
54% (19/35)48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
73% (72/98)72% (108/149)
Crosses
64% (7/11)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.97
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
811
Tackles
70% (7/10)77% (17/22)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
136
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.510.55
Goals prevented
-0.490.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Mercau N. 🟨,
  • 43', Perea A. , Shore J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Smith B. , Mboma K. ,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Martinez A. , Moralez M. (A),
  • 61', Wolf H. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 64', Ojeda A. 🟨,
  • 70', Powell A. , Kamara K. ,
  • 70', Anunga T. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 81', Moralez M. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 82', Mboma K. , Kubo Y. ,
  • 89', O'Toole K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
45.3%
Draw
25.6%
New York City
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 21.8% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 21.6% 23.4%

Cincinnati - New York City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.09
(1.72)
3.63
(4.33)
3.31
(4.08)
5.6%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - New York City?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 3 - 60%). NY City will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Cincinnati may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cincinnati will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury) Orellano L. (Muscle Injury) Sergio Santos (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury) Thiago Martins (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - New York City were as follows:
    04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0
    09.11.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1
    02.11.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:1
    28.10.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 1:0
    02.10.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    10.08.2025 Cincinnati - Charlotte 0:1
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    Latest results of New York City
    05.08.2025 Toluca - New York City 2:1
    01.08.2025 New York City - Club León 2:0
    29.07.2025 New York City - Puebla 0:3
    25.07.2025 FC Dallas - New York City 3:4
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Dallas00000:000
    2Houston Dynamo00000:000
    3Los Angeles Galaxy00000:000
    4Real Salt Lake00000:000
    5San Jose Earthquakes00000:000
    6Colorado Rapids00000:000
    7Sporting Kansas City00000:000
    8Seattle Sounders00000:000
    9Portland Timbers00000:000
    10Vancouver Whitecaps00000:000
    11Minnesota United00000:000
    12Los Angeles FC00000:000
    13Austin FC00000:000
    14St. Louis City00000:000
    15San Diego FC00000:000


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New England Revolution00000:000
    2DC United00000:000
    3Toronto FC00000:000
    4New York Red Bulls00000:000
    5Columbus Crew00000:000
    6Chicago Fire00000:000
    7CF Montreal00000:000
    8Philadelphia Union00000:000
    9Orlando City00000:000
    10New York City00000:000
    11FC Cincinnati00000:000
    12Atlanta Utd00000:000
    13Nashville SC00000:000
    14Inter Miami00000:000
    15Charlotte00000:000

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)