Cincinnati vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Cincinnati - New York City
23/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
45.8%
Draw
25.5%
New York City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 21.8% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 21.6% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cincinnati - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.72)
    3.66
    (4.33)
    3.37
    (4.08)
    5.4%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - New York City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Cincinnati may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cincinnati will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury) Orellano L. (Muscle Injury) Sergio Santos (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury) Thiago Martins (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - New York City were as follows:
    04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0
    09.11.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1
    02.11.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:1
    28.10.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 1:0
    02.10.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    10.08.2025 Cincinnati - Charlotte 0:1
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    Latest results of New York City
    05.08.2025 Toluca - New York City 2:1
    01.08.2025 New York City - Club León 2:0
    29.07.2025 New York City - Puebla 0:3
    25.07.2025 FC Dallas - New York City 3:4
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)