New York City vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yankee Stadium (New York, NY).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.46	1.01
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
19	15
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
7	6
Passes
83% (355/428)	82% (360/441)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46	1.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.82	0.71
Total shots
19	15
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
7	8
Blocked Shots
7	3
Shots inside the Box
12	9
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
30	21
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
83% (355/428)	82% (360/441)
Long passes
48% (24/50)	47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
81% (107/132)	70% (70/100)
Crosses
17% (4/24)	45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.09	0.72
Throw-ins
27	29
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
80% (20/25)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
55	38
Clearances
21	26
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	4
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.71	1.82
Goals prevented
0.71	0.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Fernandez J. ⚽,
12', Miazga M. 🟨,
13', Martinez A. (Pen),
26', Parks K. ↓, Risa B. ↑,
39', Freese M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Kubo Y. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
50', Hagglund N. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
53', Perea A. ↓, Cavallo N. ↑,
69', Miazga M. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
72', Wolf H. 🟨,
75', Haak J. 🟨,
81', Orellano L. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
85', Fernandez J. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
85', Martinez A. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
90', Engel L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
90+3', Evander 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

New York City
41.2%

Draw
26.2%

Cincinnati
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

New York City - Cincinnati Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.32)	3.63 ↑ (3.46)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	5.1% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for New York City - Cincinnati?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3.
Recent performances by NY City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cincinnati is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
NY City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in NY City: Arroyave J. (Inactive) Ilenic M. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg)
There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T. (Hamstring Injury) Kubo Y. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, NY City won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 2.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Cincinnati?

New York City has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against New York City?

Cincinnati has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Cincinnati were as follows:

09.11.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1

02.11.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:1

28.10.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 1:0

02.10.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:2

05.08.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 4:2

Latest results of New York City

26.04.2025 Toronto FC - New York City 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 New England Revolution - New York City 2:0 ✺

12.04.2025 New York City - Philadelphia Union 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 New York City - Minnesota United 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York City 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Cincinnati

26.04.2025 Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Chicago Fire - Cincinnati 2:3 ✺

12.04.2025 DC United - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Cincinnati - New England Revolution 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Nashville SC - Cincinnati 1:2 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	25	14	4	7	48:32	16	46
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	24	13	6	5	42:26	16	45
3	Minnesota United	25	12	8	5	42:28	14	44
4	Seattle Sounders	24	10	8	6	39:35	4	38
5	Portland Timbers	24	10	7	7	33:32	1	37
6	Los Angeles FC	22	10	6	6	39:28	11	36
7	Austin FC	23	9	6	8	21:26	-5	33
8	Real Salt Lake	24	9	4	11	26:30	-4	31
9	Colorado Rapids	25	8	6	11	31:39	-8	30
10	San Jose Earthquakes	25	7	8	10	47:44	3	29
11	Houston Dynamo	24	7	6	11	30:39	-9	27
12	FC Dallas	24	6	7	11	35:45	-10	25
13	Sporting Kansas City	24	6	6	12	36:45	-9	24
14	St. Louis City	24	4	6	14	24:40	-16	18
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	24	3	7	14	28:48	-20	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	25	15	5	5	43:24	19	50
2	FC Cincinnati	25	15	4	6	39:31	8	49
3	Nashville SC	25	14	5	6	42:26	16	47
4	Columbus Crew	25	12	8	5	41:36	5	44
5	Inter Miami	22	12	6	4	49:34	15	42
6	Orlando City	25	11	8	6	46:33	13	41
7	Charlotte	25	12	2	11	43:39	4	38
8	New York City	24	11	5	8	34:29	5	38
9	Chicago Fire	24	10	5	9	45:40	5	35
10	New York Red Bulls	25	9	6	10	39:36	3	33
11	New England Revolution	24	6	7	11	31:35	-4	25
12	Toronto FC	24	5	6	13	25:32	-7	21
13	Atlanta Utd	24	4	9	11	29:45	-16	21
14	DC United	25	4	7	14	22:49	-27	19
15	CF Montreal	25	4	6	15	23:46	-23	18

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)