Cincinnati vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.48
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
89% (379/427)86% (369/428)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.64
Total shots
178
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3426
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
89% (379/427)86% (369/428)
Long passes
60% (21/35)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
80% (126/157)80% (122/153)
Crosses
25% (5/20)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.54
Throw-ins
157
Fouls
1115
Tackles
46% (6/13)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.641.56
Goals prevented
-0.361.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Orellano L. , Echenique E. ,
  • 52', Tuiloma B. , Marshall-Rutty J. ,
  • 62', Engel L. 🟨,
  • 64', Valenzuela G. 🟨,
  • 70', Anunga T. 🟥,
  • 73', Valenzuela G. , Jimenez S. ,
  • 73', Kamara K. , Smith B. ,
  • 73', Abada L. , Williamson E. ,
  • 82', Celentano R. 🟨,
  • 82', Williamson E. 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Zaha W. , Toklomati I. (A),
  • 88', Byrne N. , Scardina N. ,
  • 88', Engel L. , Denkey K. ,
  • 89', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 90+7', Calderon Vargas K. A. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Evander 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
52.5%
Draw
24.7%
Charlotte
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 25% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 28.5% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Cincinnati - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.76)
    3.84
    (3.8)
    4.21
    (4.5)
    5.1%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Charlotte will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 24.9%69.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Cincinnati (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Charlotte (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Charlotte will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Charlotte (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Doumbia S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Charlotte were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Charlotte - Cincinnati 2:0
    13.07.2024 Cincinnati - Charlotte 1:3
    30.03.2024 Charlotte - Cincinnati 1:1
    23.09.2023 Cincinnati - Charlotte 3:0
    08.07.2023 Charlotte - Cincinnati 2:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Charlotte
    07.08.2025 Monterrey - Charlotte 0:2
    31.07.2025 Charlotte - Juárez 1:4
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Atlanta United - Charlotte 2:3
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)