Result
4:4
22/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (463/556) | 80% (359/447) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 2.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (463/556) | 80% (359/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (134/174) | 63% (50/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.36 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.64 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Mercau N. ⚽,
- 23', Hadebe T. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 32', 1 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Echenique E. (A),
- 35', 2 - 1, Mercau N. ⚽, Moralez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Powell A. ↓, Chirila A. ↑,
- 50', Flores G. 🟨,
- 53', 3 - 1, Ojeda A. ⚽, O'Neill A. (A),
- 60', Echenique E. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 60', Flores G. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 2, Denkey K. ⚽, Valenzuela G. (A),
- 71', Smith K. 🟨,
- 72', Moralez M. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 72', Wolf H. ↓, Parks K. ↑,
- 79', 4 - 2, Talles Magno ⚽, Ojeda A. (A),
- 83', Barlow T. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
- 84', Ojeda A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
- 84', Mercau N. ↓, Farnos A. ↑,
- 90', Gray T. ↓, Tanasijevic S. ↑,
- 90+2', 4 - 3, Chirila A. ⚽, Bucha P. (A),
- 90+5', 4 - 4, Evander (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+6', Anunga T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
New York City
50.4% | Draw
24.4% | Cincinnati
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
New York City - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.79) |
3.92 ↑
(3.67) |
3.75 ↓
(4.16) |
5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for New York City - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 4.
- NY City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cincinnati has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, NY City is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in NY City: Baiera D.
(Knee Injury)
Martinez A.
(Knee Injury)
Perea A.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
Miazga M.
(Leg Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, NY City won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:26. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:10. (average 2.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Cincinnati?
New York City has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against New York City?
Cincinnati has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Cincinnati were as follows:
23.08.2025
Cincinnati
-
New York City
0:1
04.05.2025
New York City
-
Cincinnati
1:0
09.11.2024
Cincinnati
-
New York City
0:1
02.11.2024
New York City
-
Cincinnati
3:1
28.10.2024
Cincinnati
-
New York City
1:0
Latest results of New York City
Latest results of Cincinnati
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | New York City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
