New York Red Bulls 2 vs Atlanta United II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.72
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
83% (336/404)79% (268/338)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.37
Total shots
69
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1415
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
83% (336/404)79% (268/338)
Long passes
35% (12/34)52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
72% (80/111)64% (44/69)
Crosses
25% (2/8)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.77
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (12/18)52% (15/29)
Duels won
6061
Clearances
2518
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.370.34
Goals prevented
0.37-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Schwarz B. , Gutierrez J. ,
  • 53', Rojas A. , Benedetti N. ,
  • 53', Sullivan D. , Jarvis A. ,
  • 55', Collahuazo J. 🟨,
  • 63', Wesseh G. , Weah P. ,
  • 68', Rosborough T. , Mosquera R. ,
  • 77', Hall J. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Benedetti N. ,
  • 81', Morales M. , Dos Santos M. ,
  • 86', Mazzaferro S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Carmichael R. , Vicentti I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls 2
59%
Draw
20.3%
Atlanta United II
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 23% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 21.9% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls 2's performance.
  • Atlanta United II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.83)
    4.57
    (4)
    4.5
    (3.45)
    7.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 5.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta United II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, New York Red Bulls 2 is the team to beat.
    • We predict that New York Red Bulls 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 3.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York Red Bulls 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:7. (average 5.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Atlanta United II - New York Red Bulls 2 0:1
    07.07.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II 6:2
    21.08.2023 New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II 4:2
    02.04.2023 Atlanta United II - New York Red Bulls 2 1:2
    Latest results of Atlanta United II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

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