New York Red Bulls 2 vs Atlanta United II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.72
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
83% (336/404)79% (268/338)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.37
Total shots
69
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1415
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
83% (336/404)79% (268/338)
Long passes
35% (12/34)52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
72% (80/111)64% (44/69)
Crosses
25% (2/8)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.77
Throw-ins
1522
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (12/18)52% (15/29)
Duels won
6061
Clearances
2518
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.370.34
Goals prevented
0.37-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Schwarz B. , Gutierrez J. ,
  • 53', Rojas A. , Benedetti N. ,
  • 53', Sullivan D. , Jarvis A. ,
  • 55', Collahuazo J. 🟨,
  • 63', Wesseh G. , Weah P. ,
  • 68', Rosborough T. , Mosquera R. ,
  • 77', Hall J. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Benedetti N. ,
  • 81', Morales M. , Dos Santos M. ,
  • 86', Mazzaferro S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Carmichael R. , Vicentti I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls 2
59%
Draw
20.3%
Atlanta United II
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 23% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 21.9% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls 2's performance.
  • Atlanta United II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.83)
    4.57
    (4)
    4.5
    (3.45)
    7.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 5.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlanta United II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, New York Red Bulls 2 is the team to beat.
    • We predict that New York Red Bulls 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 3.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York Red Bulls 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:7. (average 5.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Atlanta United II - New York Red Bulls 2 0:1
    07.07.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II 6:2
    21.08.2023 New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II 4:2
    02.04.2023 Atlanta United II - New York Red Bulls 2 1:2
    Latest results of Atlanta United II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    2Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    3Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    4New England Revolution II522016:410
    5Connecticut FC520038:116
    6Toronto FC II5102210:75
    7Cincinnati 2510043:83
    8New York City II401121:73


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2Chattanooga6301213:1110
    3Atlanta United 2630129:810
    4Chicago Fire II513014:49
    5Orlando City B5210211:138
    6Huntsville511128:146
    7Inter Miami II601236:144
    8Carolina Core500235:102


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County6320111:713
    2San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    3Real Monarchs5220112:810
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    5Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    6Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    7Tacoma Defiance601143:103


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3North Texas6211211:99
    4Austin FC II520217:78
    5Minnesota 2520036:86
    6Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    7Colorado Rapids 2500236:132


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy6510022:617
    2New York Red Bulls II5302011:511
    3Philadelphia Union II531018:411
    4Columbus Crew 26310210:911
    5Chattanooga6301213:1110
    6Atlanta United 2630129:810
    7New England Revolution II522016:410
    8Chicago Fire II513014:49
    9Orlando City B5210211:138
    10Connecticut FC520038:116
    11Huntsville511128:146
    12Toronto FC II5102210:75
    13Inter Miami II601236:144
    14Cincinnati 2510043:83
    15New York City II401121:73
    16Carolina Core500235:102


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 26420016:616
    2Houston Dynamo 25410014:114
    3Ventura County6320111:713
    4San Jose Earthquakes II5301110:410
    5Real Monarchs5220112:810
    6North Texas6211211:99
    7Austin FC II520217:78
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 26201310:127
    9Los Angeles FC 25112110:127
    10Minnesota 2520036:86
    11Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    12Tacoma Defiance601143:103
    13Sporting Kansas City II701155:203
    14Colorado Rapids 2500236:132

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