Atlanta United II vs Cincinnati 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
09/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.34
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
89% (586/659)72% (199/275)
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.400.07
Total shots
117
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
89% (586/659)72% (199/275)
Long passes
59% (47/79)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
69% (82/118)58% (50/86)
Crosses
26% (5/19)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.52
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
1316
Tackles
82% (9/11)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
1319
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.070.40
Goals prevented
0.070.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Hurtado D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Brennan L. , Neri R. ,
  • 46', Cobb N. , Moore K. ,
  • 67', Locker C. , Manfroy B. ,
  • 68', Tablante M. , Carmichael R. ,
  • 72', Manfroy B. 🟨,
  • 73', Sanchez C. 🟨,
  • 74', Sanchez C. , Torres A. ,
  • 78', Augee B. , Kristel B. ,
  • 78', Togashi C. , Weah P. ,
  • 86', Chirila A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Armas J. (Pen),
  • 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 2, Mazzaferro S. (Pen),
  • 2, Mangione P. (Pen),
  • 3, Neri R. (Pen),
  • 3, Chavez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Chong-Qui D. (Pen),
  • 4, Adnan N. (Pen),
  • 5, Moore K. (Pen),
  • 5, Daley A. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Atlanta United II
55.6%
Draw
22%
Cincinnati 2
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 21.6% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 22% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.77)
    4.17
    (4.28)
    4.1
    (3.49)
    8.8%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Cincinnati 2 (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
    • Atlanta United II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cincinnati 2 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cincinnati 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Atlanta United II has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Atlanta United II is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta United II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Atlanta United II 1:0
    21.04.2024 Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 1:4
    02.09.2023 Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 3:1
    25.05.2023 Cincinnati 2 - Atlanta United II 2:1
    Latest results of Atlanta United II
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

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