New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
21/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.99
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
86% (638/745)75% (356/472)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.881.37
Total shots
196
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
4622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
2325
Passes
86% (638/745)75% (356/472)
Long passes
45% (27/60)43% (33/76)
Passes in final third
73% (187/257)73% (87/119)
Crosses
27% (7/26)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.311.07
Throw-ins
2717
Fouls
2523
Tackles
57% (13/23)82% (18/22)
Duels won
7070
Clearances
3337
Interceptions
825
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.371.88
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Ramiro 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Kamungo B. , Musa P. (A),
  • 38', Norris N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Sofo M. ,
  • 63', Bogacz W. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 63', Sofo M. , Forsberg E. ,
  • 63', Gjengaar D. , Harper C. ,
  • 65', Norris N. , Farfan M. ,
  • 65', Julio Santos A. A. , Pomykal P. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Acosta L. , Kamungo B. (A),
  • 81', Kamungo B. , Ibeagha S. ,
  • 85', Stroud P. , Donkor R. ,
  • 85', Duncan K. , Hack A. ,
  • 90+1', Paes M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Forsberg E. ,
  • 90+4', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Musa P. , Farrington L. ,
  • 91', Hack A. 🟨,
  • 98', Edwards R. 🟨,
  • 101', Edwards R. , Valencia O. ,
  • 107', Kaick , Pedrinho ,
  • 113', Ramiro 🟥,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 1, Acosta L. (Pen),
  • 2, Eile N. (Pen),
  • 2, Moore S. (Pen),
  • 3, Carmona W. (Pen),
  • 3, Farrington L. (Pen),
  • 4, Edelman D. (Pen),
  • 4, Farfan M. (Pen),
  • 5, Forsberg E. (Pen),
  • 5, Pedrinho (Pen),

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
48.5%
Draw
27.2%
FC Dallas
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 27.2% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 27.4% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.9)
    3.39
    (3.42)
    3.8
    (3.91)
    8.3%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Dallas (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Dallas (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Dallas (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Dallas (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Dallas (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Dallas (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, NY Red Bulls has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, NY Red Bulls is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas were as follows:
    09.03.2024 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 2:1
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    17.05.2025 FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo 0:2
    10.05.2025 FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake 1:1
    07.05.2025 FC Dallas - AV Alta 3:1
    03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0
    27.04.2025 Inter Miami - FC Dallas 3:4
    Draw
    2026

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