New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
21/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.99
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
86% (638/745)75% (356/472)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.881.37
Total shots
196
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
4622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
2325
Passes
86% (638/745)75% (356/472)
Long passes
45% (27/60)43% (33/76)
Passes in final third
73% (187/257)73% (87/119)
Crosses
27% (7/26)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.311.07
Throw-ins
2717
Fouls
2523
Tackles
57% (13/23)82% (18/22)
Duels won
7070
Clearances
3337
Interceptions
825
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.371.88
Goals prevented
-0.63-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Ramiro 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Kamungo B. , Musa P. (A),
  • 38', Norris N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Sofo M. ,
  • 63', Bogacz W. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 63', Sofo M. , Forsberg E. ,
  • 63', Gjengaar D. , Harper C. ,
  • 65', Norris N. , Farfan M. ,
  • 65', Julio Santos A. A. , Pomykal P. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Acosta L. , Kamungo B. (A),
  • 81', Kamungo B. , Ibeagha S. ,
  • 85', Stroud P. , Donkor R. ,
  • 85', Duncan K. , Hack A. ,
  • 90+1', Paes M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Forsberg E. ,
  • 90+4', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Musa P. , Farrington L. ,
  • 91', Hack A. 🟨,
  • 98', Edwards R. 🟨,
  • 101', Edwards R. , Valencia O. ,
  • 107', Kaick , Pedrinho ,
  • 113', Ramiro 🟥,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 1, Acosta L. (Pen),
  • 2, Eile N. (Pen),
  • 2, Moore S. (Pen),
  • 3, Carmona W. (Pen),
  • 3, Farrington L. (Pen),
  • 4, Edelman D. (Pen),
  • 4, Farfan M. (Pen),
  • 5, Forsberg E. (Pen),
  • 5, Pedrinho (Pen),

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
48.5%
Draw
27.2%
FC Dallas
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 27.2% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 27.4% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.9)
    3.39
    (3.42)
    3.8
    (3.91)
    8.3%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Dallas (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Dallas (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Dallas (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Dallas (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Dallas (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Dallas (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, NY Red Bulls has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, NY Red Bulls is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas were as follows:
    09.03.2024 New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas 2:1
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    17.05.2025 FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo 0:2
    10.05.2025 FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake 1:1
    07.05.2025 FC Dallas - AV Alta 3:1
    03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0
    27.04.2025 Inter Miami - FC Dallas 3:4
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    2Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    4ByeAtlanta Utd
    5CharlotteBye
    7Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    8CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    9Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    10Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    12ByeNew York City
    13New York Red BullsBye
    15Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    16Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    17Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    18DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    20ByeChicago Fire
    21St. Louis CityBye
    23San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    24Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    25LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    26Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    28ByeAustin FC
    29Houston DynamoBye
    31New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    32Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    33Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    34VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    36ByeSporting Kansas City
    37Colorado RapidsBye
    39Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    40BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    41AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    42Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    44ByeMinnesota United
    45San Jose EarthquakesBye
    47Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    48Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0
    49FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    50TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    52ByeOrlando City
    53New England RevolutionBye
    55Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    56MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    57Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    58West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    60ByeColumbus Crew
    61DC UnitedBye
    63Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    64VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    2ByeAtlanta Utd
    3CharlotteBye
    4Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    5Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    6ByeNew York City
    7New York Red BullsBye
    8PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    9Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    10ByeChicago Fire
    11St. Louis CityBye
    12San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    13LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Houston DynamoBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    17Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeSporting Kansas City
    19Colorado RapidsBye
    20Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    21Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    22ByeMinnesota United
    23San Jose EarthquakesBye
    24Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    25FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    26ByeOrlando City
    27New England RevolutionBye
    28Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    29Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    30ByeColumbus Crew
    31DC UnitedBye
    32Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd
    2CharlotteCharlotte Independ.
    3Westchester SCNew York City
    4New York Red BullsPittsburgh
    5DetroitChicago Fire
    6St. Louis CityFC Tulsa
    7Louisville CityAustin FC
    8Houston DynamoEl Paso
    9Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City
    10Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha
    11Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United
    12San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
    13FC NaplesOrlando City
    14New England RevolutionRhode Island
    15Richmond KickersColumbus Crew
    16DC UnitedOne Knoxville

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16