Result
14:38
11/04/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 6
- Referee: Atkins G. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 78 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 161 | 186 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 1202 | 1347 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 18)
- 5', Meaney N. (Penalty Goal),
- 10', Leiataua A. (Try),
- 12', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Niukore M. (Try),
- 15', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Clarke C. (Try),
- 19', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Howarth J. (Try),
- 25', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
- 33', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
- 40', Boyd T. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 20)
- 44', Tuivasa-Sheck R. (Try),
- 46', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Ford J. (Try),
- 49', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
- 53', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Boyd T. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Melbourne Storm
69.2% | Draw
4.1% | New Zealand Warriors
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Storm's performance.New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-16.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Storm that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Melbourne Storm - New Zealand Warriors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.53) |
21.7 ↓
(23.39) |
3.53 ↑
(2.61) |
8.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
What is the prediction for Melbourne Storm - New Zealand Warriors?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 25%). New Zealand will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Melbourne (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:19.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melbourne is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 632:296. (average 31.6:14.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 389:134. (average 38.9:13.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against New Zealand Warriors?
Melbourne Storm has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Zealand Warriors won against Melbourne Storm?
New Zealand Warriors has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - New Zealand Warriors were as follows:
13.04.2025
Melbourne Storm
-
New Zealand Warriors
42:14
14.02.2025
New Zealand Warriors
-
Melbourne Storm
36:10
15.06.2024
New Zealand Warriors
-
Melbourne Storm
24:38
16.03.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
New Zealand Warriors
30:26
25.04.2023
Melbourne Storm
-
New Zealand Warriors
30:22
Latest results of Melbourne Storm
Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 6 | 5 | 1 | 206:72 | 10 |
| 2 | Wests Tigers | 5 | 4 | 1 | 156:92 | 10 |
| 3 | New Zealand Warriors | 6 | 4 | 2 | 194:118 | 8 |
| 4 | Manly Sea Eagles | 6 | 3 | 3 | 178:140 | 8 |
| 5 | Newcastle Knights | 6 | 4 | 2 | 154:142 | 8 |
| 6 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 144:132 | 8 |
| 7 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 5 | 3 | 2 | 101:96 | 8 |
| 8 | NQ Cowboys | 7 | 4 | 3 | 165:181 | 8 |
| 9 | Sydney Roosters | 5 | 3 | 2 | 115:138 | 8 |
| 10 | Cronulla Sharks | 6 | 3 | 3 | 158:152 | 6 |
| 11 | Brisbane Broncos | 6 | 3 | 3 | 133:139 | 6 |
| 12 | Dolphins | 5 | 2 | 3 | 116:142 | 6 |
| 13 | Melbourne Storm | 6 | 2 | 4 | 160:158 | 4 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 6 | 2 | 4 | 126:148 | 4 |
| 15 | Canberra Raiders | 6 | 2 | 4 | 115:182 | 4 |
| 16 | Parramatta Eels | 6 | 2 | 4 | 124:226 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 6 | 0 | 6 | 86:173 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )
