Gold Coast Titans vs New Zealand Warriors, Australian NRL

23/08/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cbus Super Stadium (Gold Coast).

NRL - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, NRL
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1

Match Stats


Tries
3	5
Conversion Goals
3	5
Conversion Goal Attempts
3	5
Penalty Goals
0	1
Penalty Goal Attempts
0	1
Goals %
100	100
Dropped Goals
0	0
Dropped Goal Attempts
0	0
Total Runs
160	183
Metres Run With Ball
1355	1729

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (6 - 18)
4', Faasuamaleaui T. (Try),
5', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
7', Niukore M. (Try),
8', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
17', Tuivasa-Sheck R. (Try),
18', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
21', Tuivasa-Sheck R. (Try),
22', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 14)
42', Boyd T. (Penalty Goal),
58', Pompey A. (Try),
60', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
63', Ieremia-Toeava E. (Try),
65', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
73', Fermor B. (Try),
74', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
76', Kelly B. (Try),
76', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning

Gold Coast Titans
41.5%

Draw
4%

New Zealand Warriors
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

4.3%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

4.3%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Titans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Titans than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Gold Coast Titans - New Zealand Warriors Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.43)	22.71 ↑ (21.5)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	7.7% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 4.
Gold Coast has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
New Zealand's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gold Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 434:450. (average 21.7:22.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 260:194. (average 26:19.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Gold Coast Titans won against New Zealand Warriors?

Gold Coast Titans has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New Zealand Warriors won against Gold Coast Titans?

New Zealand Warriors has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gold Coast Titans - New Zealand Warriors were as follows:

26.07.2025 New Zealand Warriors - Gold Coast Titans 16:24

22.06.2024 Gold Coast Titans - New Zealand Warriors 66:6

25.04.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Gold Coast Titans 24:27

04.08.2023 Gold Coast Titans - New Zealand Warriors 18:28

03.09.2022 New Zealand Warriors - Gold Coast Titans 26:27

Latest results of Gold Coast Titans

16.08.2025 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Gold Coast Titans 54:22 ✺

10.08.2025 Gold Coast Titans - South Sydney Rabbitohs 18:20 ✺

02.08.2025 Gold Coast Titans - Penrith Panthers 26:30 ✺

26.07.2025 New Zealand Warriors - Gold Coast Titans 16:24 ✺

20.07.2025 Wests Tigers - Gold Coast Titans 21:20 ✺

Latest results of New Zealand Warriors

15.08.2025 New Zealand Warriors - St. George Illawarra Dragons 14:10 ✺

09.08.2025 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - New Zealand Warriors 32:14 ✺

01.08.2025 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 18:20 ✺