Result
4:1
31/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 15
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (406/487) | 73% (210/288) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.64 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (406/487) | 73% (210/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (13/36) | 52% (33/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (110/145) | 53% (34/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 52% (14/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 3.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Rose L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', O'Shea J. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 40', Long Ch. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 48', Vidic J. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 0, Taylor C. ⚽, Adams E. (A),
- 63', 2 - 1, Valkanis D. ⚽, McGarry J. (A),
- 64', 3 - 1, Bayliss L. ⚽, Rose L. (A),
- 66', Vrakas G. ↓, D'Agostino N. ↑,
- 75', Adams E. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
- 76', Lauton J. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
- 76', Ruhs M. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
- 83', Dobson W. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
- 83', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 87', Bertolissio J. 🟨,
- 90', Long Ch. 🟨,
- 90', 4 - 1, Bayliss L. ⚽,
- 90+2', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets
48.2% | Draw
24.4% | Brisbane Roar
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.93) |
3.85 ↑
(3.77) |
3.46 ↑
(3.3) |
5.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Brisbane (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Brisbane (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Newcastle Jets will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle Jets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Brisbane (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.
- Newcastle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Brisbane has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Newcastle will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Aquilina T.
(Inactive)
Badolato A.
(Injury)
Bracco C.
(Inactive)
Clough Z.
(Inactive)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
Grozos K.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Brazete J.
(Inactive)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Brisbane Roar?
Newcastle Jets has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Newcastle Jets?
Brisbane Roar has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
09.11.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Newcastle Jets
3:0
09.08.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Brisbane Roar
1:3
21.02.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Brisbane Roar
3:1
07.01.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Newcastle Jets
0:1
13.04.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Newcastle Jets
0:2
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
