Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar
Result
3:1
21/02/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 20
  • Referee: Kelly S. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainLaLiga+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.251.02
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1712
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
85
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
65
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
22
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
03
Throw-ins
1321
Touches in the Opposition Box
2021
Passes
84% (400/474)88% (470/532)
Passes in the final third
59% (54/91)76% (97/128)
Crosses
0% (0/9)23% (3/13)
Tackles
55% (11/20)38% (5/13)
Clearances Total
2215
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Mizunuma K. , Bayliss L. (A),
  • 29', Shour W. 🟨,
  • 30', Bility H. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Adams E. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, O'Shea J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Berenguer F. , Amanatidis N. ,
  • 50', 3 - 1, Taylor C. ,
  • 70', Zabala L. , Ludwik A. ,
  • 70', Halloran B. , Abubakar A. ,
  • 82', Abubakar A. 🟨,
  • 83', Rose L. , Gibson B. ,
  • 83', Timmins C. , M'Mombwa C. ,
  • 84', Burke-Gilroy A. , Zimarino A. ,
  • 84', Klein S. , Brazete J. ,
  • 87', Adams E. , Scarcella M. ,
  • 87', Taylor C. , Dobson W. ,
  • 90+4', Mizunuma K. , Aarou G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newcastle Jets
42.9%
Draw
25.2%
Brisbane Roar
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 23.1% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 22% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Jets's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Roar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Roar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.76)
    3.75
    (4.06)
    2.98
    (3.98)
    5.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Brisbane will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 41.5%84.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 3.
    • Recent matches Newcastle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Brisbane is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brisbane could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Newcastle will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Fryer O. (Knee Injury) Ingham D. (Muscle Injury) Susnjar A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Brisbane: Herrington L. (International duty) Warland B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 31:26 (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
    07.01.2025 Brisbane Roar - Newcastle Jets 0:1
    13.04.2024 Brisbane Roar - Newcastle Jets 0:2
    23.01.2024 Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar 3:1
    14.01.2024 Brisbane Roar - Newcastle Jets 3:2
    14.08.2023 Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar 2:3
    Latest results of Newcastle Jets
    Latest results of Brisbane Roar
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0