Result
3:1
21/02/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 20
- Referee: Kelly S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/474) | 88% (470/532) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 76% (97/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 23% (3/13) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 38% (5/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Mizunuma K. ⚽, Bayliss L. (A),
- 29', Shour W. 🟨,
- 30', Bility H. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 0, Adams E. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, O'Shea J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Berenguer F. ↓, Amanatidis N. ↑,
- 50', 3 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽,
- 70', Zabala L. ↓, Ludwik A. ↑,
- 70', Halloran B. ↓, Abubakar A. ↑,
- 82', Abubakar A. 🟨,
- 83', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 83', Timmins C. ↓, M'Mombwa C. ↑,
- 84', Burke-Gilroy A. ↓, Zimarino A. ↑,
- 84', Klein S. ↓, Brazete J. ↑,
- 87', Adams E. ↓, Scarcella M. ↑,
- 87', Taylor C. ↓, Dobson W. ↑,
- 90+4', Mizunuma K. ↓, Aarou G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets
42.9% | Draw
25.2% | Brisbane Roar
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Jets's form might have worsened.Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Roar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Roar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.76) |
3.75 ↓
(4.06) |
2.98 ↓
(3.98) |
5.5%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Brisbane will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 41.5% – 84.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 3.
- Recent matches Newcastle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Brisbane is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Brisbane could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Newcastle will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
Ingham D.
(Muscle Injury)
Susnjar A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Brisbane: Herrington L.
(International duty)
Warland B.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 31:26 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Brisbane Roar?
Newcastle Jets has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Newcastle Jets?
Brisbane Roar has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
07.01.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Newcastle Jets
0:1
13.04.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Newcastle Jets
0:2
23.01.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Brisbane Roar
3:1
14.01.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Newcastle Jets
3:2
14.08.2023
Newcastle Jets
-
Brisbane Roar
2:3
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
