Result
3:1
21/02/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 20
- Referee: Kelly S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Spain | LaLiga+ |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.25 | 1.02 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
17 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
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6 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
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8 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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8 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Fouls |
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12 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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13 | 21 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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20 | 21 |
Passes |
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84% (400/474) | 88% (470/532) |
Passes in the final third |
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59% (54/91) | 76% (97/128) |
Crosses |
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0% (0/9) | 23% (3/13) |
Tackles |
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55% (11/20) | 38% (5/13) |
Clearances Total |
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22 | 15 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Mizunuma K. ⚽, Bayliss L. (A),
- 29', Shour W. 🟨,
- 30', Bility H. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 0, Adams E. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, O'Shea J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Berenguer F. ↓, Amanatidis N. ↑,
- 50', 3 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽,
- 70', Zabala L. ↓, Ludwik A. ↑,
- 70', Halloran B. ↓, Abubakar A. ↑,
- 82', Abubakar A. 🟨,
- 83', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 83', Timmins C. ↓, M'Mombwa C. ↑,
- 84', Burke-Gilroy A. ↓, Zimarino A. ↑,
- 84', Klein S. ↓, Brazete J. ↑,
- 87', Adams E. ↓, Scarcella M. ↑,
- 87', Taylor C. ↓, Dobson W. ↑,
- 90+4', Mizunuma K. ↓, Aarou G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets 42.9% | Draw 25.2% | Brisbane Roar 31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Jets's form might have worsened.Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Roar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Roar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↑ (1.76) |
3.75 ↓ (4.06) |
2.98 ↓ (3.98) |
5.5% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Brisbane will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 41.5% – 84.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 3.
- Recent matches Newcastle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Brisbane is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Brisbane could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Newcastle will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
Ingham D.
(Muscle Injury)
Susnjar A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Brisbane: Herrington L.
(International duty)
Warland B.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 31:26 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Brisbane Roar?
Newcastle Jets has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Newcastle Jets?
Brisbane Roar has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
07.01.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Newcastle Jets
0:1
13.04.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Newcastle Jets
0:2
23.01.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Brisbane Roar
3:1
14.01.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Newcastle Jets
3:2
14.08.2023
Newcastle Jets
-
Brisbane Roar
2:3
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |