Result
0:1
12/03/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 14
- Referee: Kelly S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 27 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 47 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (521/596) | 81% (326/404) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 80% (185/230) | 53% (26/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 0% (0/2) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 53% (9/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Caputo M. 🟨,
- 35', Wilmering D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rahmani K. ↓, Politidis H. ↑,
- 46', M'Mombwa C. ↓, Bayliss L. ↑,
- 51', Ugarkovic S. 🟨,
- 57', Leckie M. 🟨,
- 69', 0 - 1, Rose L. ⚽, Aquilina T. (A),
- 76', Leckie M. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
- 76', Tilio M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 76', Rose L. ↓, Susnjar A. ↑,
- 85', Adams E. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
63.2% | Draw
20.5% | Newcastle Jets
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne City's performance.Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Jets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Jets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.83) |
4.61 ↑
(3.77) |
5.85 ↑
(4.01) |
5.5%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Newcastle will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 56.3% – 96.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 3.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Melbourne City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Melbourne City is a favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Mazzeo B.
(Inactive)
Nabbout A.
(Knee Injury)
Necovski J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
Gibson B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Melbourne City: Jeggo J.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 37:18 (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne City won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:7 (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Newcastle Jets?
Melbourne City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Melbourne City?
Newcastle Jets has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
19.10.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne City
0:1
30.03.2024
Melbourne City
-
Newcastle Jets
0:0
03.12.2023
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne City
0:2
02.04.2023
Melbourne City
-
Newcastle Jets
1:1
12.11.2022
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne City
1:2
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
