Result
0:1
11/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 12
- Referee: Reibelt C. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (547/642) | 75% (303/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (547/642) | 75% (303/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (104/146) | 65% (88/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Wilmering D. 🟨,
- 57', Adams E. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
- 58', Grozos K. ↓, Bayliss L. ↑,
- 59', Bertolissio J. 🟨,
- 61', Schreiber Z. ↓, Lopane A. ↑,
- 61', Kuen A. ↓, Caputo M. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 1, Rose L. ⚽,
- 68', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
- 68', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 73', Durakovic E. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
- 82', Memeti M. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
- 82', Souprayen S. ↓, Bonetig L. ↑,
- 85', Dobson W. ↓, Nunes A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
55.3% | Draw
21.9% | Newcastle Jets
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.74) |
4.26 ↑
(3.88) |
4.12 ↑
(3.95) |
6.5%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Newcastle will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 20%). Newcastle (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Melbourne City is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Groin Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mazzeo B.
(Muscle Injury)
Ochsenham D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Aquilina T.
(Inactive)
Cooper M.
(Red Card)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Knee Injury)
Nassiep A.
(Inactive)
Nunes A.
(Inactive)
Scicluna L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Newcastle Jets?
Melbourne City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Melbourne City?
Newcastle Jets has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
06.12.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne City
0:1
12.03.2025
Melbourne City
-
Newcastle Jets
0:1
19.10.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne City
0:1
30.03.2024
Melbourne City
-
Newcastle Jets
0:0
03.12.2023
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne City
0:2
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
