Newcastle United vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Newcastle United - Benfica
21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
58.6%
Draw
22.5%
Benfica
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 22.8% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 21.9% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Newcastle United - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.65)
    4.3
    (4.2)
    5.21
    (4.98)
    3.3%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Newcastle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Benfica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Newcastle is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    Latest results of Benfica
    05.10.2025 Porto - Benfica 0:0
    30.09.2025 Chelsea - Benfica 1:0
    26.09.2025 Benfica - Gil Vicente 2:1
    23.09.2025 Benfica - Rio Ave 1:1
    20.09.2025 AVS - Benfica 0:3
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

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