Newcastle United vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
07/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 21
  • Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
japanJapanU-NEXT
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Astro Premier League 5, Sooka
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandCanal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Cricket
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.722.26
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
86
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
84
Passes
87% (467/539)77% (252/326)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.722.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.971.84
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
1512
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
21
Headed goals
10
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1011
Passes
87% (467/539)77% (252/326)
Long passes
52% (24/46)49% (26/53)
Passes in final third
82% (106/129)63% (69/110)
Crosses
26% (9/35)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.950.78
Throw ins
1615
Fouls
1110
Tackles
64% (9/14)44% (8/18)
Duels won
5052
Clearances
3134
Interceptions
918
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.842.97
Goals prevented
-1.16-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', Thiaw M. 🟨,
  • 22', Calvert-Lewin D. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Aaronson B. , Calvert-Lewin D. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Barnes H. , Woltemade N. (A),
  • 45+3', Gordon A. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 2, Calvert-Lewin D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+6', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Thiaw M. , Botman S. ,
  • 46', Tonali S. , Livramento V. ,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Joelinton , Bruno Guimaraes (A),
  • 75', Schar F. , Ramsey J. ,
  • 75', Woltemade N. , Wissa Y. ,
  • 79', 2 - 3, Aaronson B. , Gruev I. (A),
  • 80', Stach A. , Okafor N. ,
  • 81', Gordon A. , Murphy A. ,
  • 86', Calvert-Lewin D. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 3, Bruno Guimaraes (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+7', Gruev I. , Tanaka A. ,
  • 90+7', Aaronson B. , Gnonto W. ,
  • 90+7', Rodon J. , Bornauw S. ,
  • 90+10', Ampadu E. 🟨,
  • 90+12', 4 - 3, Barnes H. , Botman S. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2tmbap7s

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
57%
Draw
24.4%
Leeds United
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.7% 13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5% 22.9% 12.7%

Newcastle United - Leeds United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.47)
3.94
(4.4)
5.11
(7.1)
4.4%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 49 - 70%). Leeds will win (votes: 8 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 18.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 59.3%80.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Leeds (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Leeds (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 9 - 60%). Leeds (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Newcastle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leeds's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Burn D. (Chest Injury) Elanga A. (Knee Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Muscle Injury) Osula W. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Leeds: James D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Murphy J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: Bogle J. (Calf Injury) Rodon J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Leeds United were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Leeds United - Newcastle United 0:0
    13.05.2023 Leeds United - Newcastle United 2:2
    31.12.2022 Newcastle United - Leeds United 0:0
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    Latest results of Leeds United
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal22155240:142650
    2Manchester City22134545:212443
    3Aston Villa22134533:25843
    4Liverpool22106633:29436
    5Manchester Utd2298538:32635
    6Chelsea2297636:241234
    7Brentford22103935:30533
    8Newcastle2296732:27533
    9Sunderland2289523:23033
    10Everton2295824:25-132
    11Fulham2294930:31-131
    12Brighton2279632:29330
    13Crystal Palace2277823:25-228
    14Tottenham2276931:29227
    15Bournemouth2269735:41-627
    16Leeds2267930:37-725
    17Nottingham22641221:34-1322
    18West Ham22451324:44-2017
    19Burnley22351423:42-1914
    20Wolves22151615:41-268

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship