Manchester City vs Newcastle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Etihad Stadium (Manchester).

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 25
Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.89	0.39
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Goal Attempts
11	3
Shots on Goal
7	1
Shots off Goal
2	1
Blocked Shots
2	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
7	4
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
4	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
Free Kicks
13	5
Offsides
0	3
Fouls
5	13
Yellow Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
13	15
Touches in the Opposition Box
24	10
Passes
92% (539/585)	84% (294/352)
Passes in the final third
85% (131/155)	72% (66/92)
Crosses
54% (7/13)	21% (3/14)
Tackles
50% (5/10)	62% (16/26)
Clearances Total
19	19
Interceptions
6	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Marmoush O. ⚽, Ederson (A),
24', 2 - 0, Marmoush O. ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Marmoush O. ⚽, Savinho (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Trippier K. ↓, Livramento V. ↑,
46', Willock J. ↓, Miley L. ↑,
50', Bruno Guimaraes 🟨,
72', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
73', Gordon A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
76', Marmoush O. ↓, Doku J. ↑,
76', Foden P. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, McAtee J. ⚽, Haaland E. (A),
87', Gvardiol J. ↓, O'Reilly N. ↑,
87', Gundogan I. ↓, Kovacic M. ↑,
88', Haaland E. ↓, Nunes M. ↑,
90', Isak A. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Manchester City
46.5%

Draw
23.7%

Newcastle United
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

22.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

21.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester City's form might have worsened.

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manchester City - Newcastle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.75)	4.1 ↓ (4.3)	3.25 ↓ (4.19)	3.3% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Manchester City - Newcastle United?

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 50 - 64.1%). Newcastle will win (votes: 18 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 53.5% – 74.7%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Man City won 3.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Man City will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Man City: Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Echeverri C. (Ankle Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Newcastle: Barnes H. (Thigh Injury) Joelinton (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Man City: Akanji M. (Injury) Grealish J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Man City won 14 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 50:18 (average 2.5:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Man City won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28:3 (average 3.1:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Newcastle United?

Manchester City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Manchester City?

Newcastle United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Newcastle United were as follows:

28.09.2024 Newcastle United - Manchester City 1:1

16.03.2024 Manchester City - Newcastle United 2:0

13.01.2024 Newcastle United - Manchester City 2:3

27.09.2023 Newcastle United - Manchester City 1:0

19.08.2023 Manchester City - Newcastle United 1:0

Latest results of Manchester City

11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3 ✺

08.02.2025 Leyton Orient - Manchester City 1:2 ✺

02.02.2025 Arsenal - Manchester City 5:1 ✺

29.01.2025 Manchester City - Club Brugge 3:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Manchester City - Chelsea 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Newcastle United

08.02.2025 Birmingham City - Newcastle United 2:3 ✺

05.02.2025 Newcastle United - Arsenal 2:0 ✺

01.02.2025 Newcastle United - Fulham 1:2 ✺

25.01.2025 Southampton - Newcastle United 1:3 ✺

18.01.2025 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 1:4 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester City - Newcastle United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, One Africa, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Botswana	YTV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	fubo Sports Network 6 DRM
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Guinea	CIS
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, JioTV app, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	K24
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX
Moldova	ICE TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 4
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Seyshelles	SBC TV
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tanzania	UTV
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Uganda	NBS Sport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Sport 24 International
Usa	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia
Zambia	ZNBC 1