Newcastle United vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
1:3
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.143.43
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
1121
Shots on target
48
Big chances
47
Corner kicks
39
Passes
73% (222/303)87% (455/522)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.143.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.683.63
Total shots
1121
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
57
Blocked shots
26
Shots inside the box
618
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
47
Corner kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1564
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1612
Passes
73% (222/303)87% (455/522)
Long passes
26% (14/54)34% (12/35)
Passes in final third
59% (47/80)82% (168/204)
Crosses
17% (2/12)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.462.04
Throw ins
1211
Fouls
1216
Tackles
75% (12/16)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
2823
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
52
xGOT faced
3.630.68
Goals prevented
0.63-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Barnes H. ⚽, Tonali S. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Savinho ⚽, Doku J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 2, Marmoush O. ⚽, Nunes M. (A),
  • 54', Guardiola P. 🟨,
  • 62', Elanga A. ↓, Joelinton ↑,
  • 63', Osula W. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
  • 63', Trippier K. ↓, Burn D. ↑,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Marmoush O. ⚽, Nunes M. (A),
  • 72', Woltemade N. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
  • 73', Marmoush O. ↓, Semenyo A. ↑,
  • 78', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 79', Doku J. ↓, Foden P. ↑,
  • 79', Savinho ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
  • 80', Hall L. ↓, Livramento V. ↑,
  • 90', Wissa Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
33.5%		Draw
26.9%		Manchester City
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 25.1% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 24.1% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Newcastle United - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.88 ↓
    (3.32)    		 3.53 ↓
    (3.75)    		 2.41 ↑
    (2.02)    		 4.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). Man City will win (votes: 26 - 78.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 64.9% – 92.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 2 - 20%). Man City (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Newcastle (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • TQ, OT - Newcastle (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Man City (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Man City (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Newcastle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Man City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Man City has had a series of home games.
    • Man City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes (Muscle Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Miley L. (Knee Injury) Ramsey J. (Red Card) Schar F. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Alleyne M. (Knock) Gvardiol J. (Broken Leg) Kovacic M. (Heel Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Livramento V. (Hamstring Injury) Tonali S. (Injury) Woltemade N. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Man City: O'Reilly N. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:49. (average 0.9:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Manchester City were as follows:
    21.02.2026 Manchester City - Newcastle United 2:1
    04.02.2026 Manchester City - Newcastle United 3:1
    13.01.2026 Newcastle United - Manchester City 0:2
    22.11.2025 Newcastle United - Manchester City 2:1
    15.02.2025 Manchester City - Newcastle United 4:0
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    04.03.2026 Newcastle United - Manchester United 2:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Newcastle United - Everton 2:3 ✺
    24.02.2026 Newcastle United - Qarabağ Agdam 3:2 ✺
    21.02.2026 Manchester City - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    18.02.2026 Qarabağ Agdam - Newcastle United 1:6 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester City
    04.03.2026 Manchester City - Nottingham Forest 2:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Leeds United - Manchester City 0:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Manchester City - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Manchester City - Salford City 2:0 ✺
    11.02.2026 Manchester City - Fulham 3:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17BurnleyBye
    20ByeMillwall
    21Sheffield UtdBye
    23GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    24MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    25PortsmouthBye
    28ByeArsenal
    29PrestonBye
    31WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    32SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    33WrexhamBye
    36ByeNottingham
    37IpswichBye
    39BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    40ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    41HullBye
    44ByeBlackburn
    45CharltonBye
    48ByeChelsea
    49Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    50BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    51FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    52LutonForest Green4 : 3
    53Bristol CityBye
    56ByeWatford
    57ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    58OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    60ByeOxford Utd
    61EvertonBye
    64ByeSunderland
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    98NewportGillingham3 : 2
    99Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    100BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    101West HamBye
    104ByeQPR
    105SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    106MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    108ByeCrystal Palace
    109Sheffield WedBye
    112ByeBrentford
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9BurnleyBye
    10ByeMillwall
    11Sheffield UtdBye
    12AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    13PortsmouthBye
    14ByeArsenal
    15PrestonBye
    16WiganBarrow3 : 2
    17WrexhamBye
    18ByeNottingham
    19IpswichBye
    20BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    21HullBye
    22ByeBlackburn
    23CharltonBye
    24ByeChelsea
    25Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    26FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    27Bristol CityBye
    28ByeWatford
    29MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    30ByeOxford Utd
    31EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    50Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    51West HamBye
    52ByeQPR
    53SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    54ByeCrystal Palace
    55Sheffield WedBye
    56ByeBrentford
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    6Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    7PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    8PrestonWigan0 : 1
    9WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    10IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    11HullBlackburn1 : 0
    12CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    13Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    14Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    15MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    16EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    26West HamQPR2 : 1
    27MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    28Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    4ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    5WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    6HullChelsea0 : 4
    7Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    8Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    14MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    2MansfieldArsenal1 : 2
    3WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    4Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7West HamBrentford3 : 2
    8LeedsNorwich3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1SouthamptonArsenal
    2ChelseaPort Vale
    3Manchester CityLiverpool
    4West HamLeeds
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