Newcastle United vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
1:3
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.143.43
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
1121
Shots on target
48
Big chances
47
Corner kicks
39
Passes
73% (222/303)87% (455/522)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.143.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.683.63
Total shots
1121
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
57
Blocked shots
26
Shots inside the box
618
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
47
Corner kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1564
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1612
Passes
73% (222/303)87% (455/522)
Long passes
26% (14/54)34% (12/35)
Passes in final third
59% (47/80)82% (168/204)
Crosses
17% (2/12)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.462.04
Throw ins
1211
Fouls
1216
Tackles
75% (12/16)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
2823
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
52
xGOT faced
3.630.68
Goals prevented
0.63-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Barnes H. ⚽, Tonali S. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Savinho ⚽, Doku J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 2, Marmoush O. ⚽, Nunes M. (A),
  • 54', Guardiola P. 🟨,
  • 62', Elanga A. ↓, Joelinton ↑,
  • 63', Osula W. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
  • 63', Trippier K. ↓, Burn D. ↑,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Marmoush O. ⚽, Nunes M. (A),
  • 72', Woltemade N. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
  • 73', Marmoush O. ↓, Semenyo A. ↑,
  • 78', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 79', Doku J. ↓, Foden P. ↑,
  • 79', Savinho ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
  • 80', Hall L. ↓, Livramento V. ↑,
  • 90', Wissa Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
33.5%		Draw
26.9%		Manchester City
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 25.1% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 24.1% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Newcastle United - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.88 ↓
    (3.32)    		 3.53 ↓
    (3.75)    		 2.41 ↑
    (2.02)    		 4.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). Man City will win (votes: 26 - 78.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 64.9% – 92.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 2 - 20%). Man City (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Newcastle (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • TQ, OT - Newcastle (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Man City (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Man City (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Newcastle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Man City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Man City has had a series of home games.
    • Man City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes (Muscle Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Miley L. (Knee Injury) Ramsey J. (Red Card) Schar F. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Alleyne M. (Knock) Gvardiol J. (Broken Leg) Kovacic M. (Heel Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Livramento V. (Hamstring Injury) Tonali S. (Injury) Woltemade N. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Man City: O'Reilly N. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:49. (average 0.9:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Manchester City were as follows:
    21.02.2026 Manchester City - Newcastle United 2:1
    04.02.2026 Manchester City - Newcastle United 3:1
    13.01.2026 Newcastle United - Manchester City 0:2
    22.11.2025 Newcastle United - Manchester City 2:1
    15.02.2025 Manchester City - Newcastle United 4:0
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    04.03.2026 Newcastle United - Manchester United 2:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Newcastle United - Everton 2:3 ✺
    24.02.2026 Newcastle United - Qarabağ Agdam 3:2 ✺
    21.02.2026 Manchester City - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    18.02.2026 Qarabağ Agdam - Newcastle United 1:6 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester City
    04.03.2026 Manchester City - Nottingham Forest 2:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Leeds United - Manchester City 0:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Manchester City - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Manchester City - Salford City 2:0 ✺
    11.02.2026 Manchester City - Fulham 3:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    4ByeNottingham
    5IpswichBye
    7BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    8ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    9HullBye
    12ByeBlackburn
    13CharltonBye
    16ByeChelsea
    17Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    18BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    19FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    20LutonForest Green4 : 3
    21Bristol CityBye
    24ByeWatford
    25ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    26OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    28ByeOxford Utd
    29EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    50Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    52ByeBirmingham
    53DerbyBye
    56ByeLeeds
    57NorwichBye
    59AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    60EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    61SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97StokeBye
    100ByeCoventry
    101FulhamBye
    104ByeMiddlesbrough
    105StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    106CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    108ByeSouthampton
    109CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    110BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    112ByeLeicester
    113BurnleyBye
    116ByeMillwall
    117Sheffield UtdBye
    119GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    120MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    121PortsmouthBye
    124ByeArsenal
    125PrestonBye
    127WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    128SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    2ByeNottingham
    3IpswichBye
    4BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    5HullBye
    6ByeBlackburn
    7CharltonBye
    8ByeChelsea
    9Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    10FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    11Bristol CityBye
    12ByeWatford
    13MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    14ByeOxford Utd
    15EvertonBye
    16ByeSunderland
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    26ByeBirmingham
    27DerbyBye
    28ByeLeeds
    29NorwichBye
    30GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    31SwanseaBye
    32ByeWest Brom
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49StokeBye
    50ByeCoventry
    51FulhamBye
    52ByeMiddlesbrough
    53ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    54ByeSouthampton
    55CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    56ByeLeicester
    57BurnleyBye
    58ByeMillwall
    59Sheffield UtdBye
    60AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    61PortsmouthBye
    62ByeArsenal
    63PrestonBye
    64WiganBarrow3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    2IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    3HullBlackburn1 : 0
    4CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    5Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    6Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    7MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    8EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    14DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    15NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    16SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25StokeCoventry1 : 0
    26FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    27DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    28CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    29BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    30Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    31PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    32PrestonWigan0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    2HullChelsea0 : 4
    3Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    4Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    8NorwichWest Brom3 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13StokeFulham1 : 2
    14SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    15BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    16ArsenalWigan4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    2Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    3West HamBrentford3 : 2
    4LeedsNorwich3 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    8MansfieldArsenal1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ChelseaPort Vale7 : 0
    2West HamLeeds2 : 3
    3Manchester CityLiverpool4 : 0
    4SouthamptonArsenal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaLeeds
    2Manchester CitySouthampton
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