Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.17	0.11
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
20	5
Shots on target
13	2
Big Chances
8	0
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
90% (521/577)	80% (288/358)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17	0.11
xG on target (xGOT)
4.75	0.10
Total shots
20	5
Shots on target
13	2
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
12	2
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
3	0
Big Chances
8	0
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
24	7
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
90% (521/577)	80% (288/358)
Long passes
55% (24/44)	47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
77% (55/71)	56% (51/91)
Crosses
35% (6/17)	0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.13
Throw-ins
13	15
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
84% (16/19)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
54	42
Clearances
22	11
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	8
xGOT faced
0.10	4.75
Goals prevented
0.10	-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽, Barinaga J. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽,
31', Montero A. 🟨,
33', 3 - 0, Costa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Chiaverano G. ↓, Guch F. ↑,
46', Regiardo L. ↓, Benedetto D. ↑,
46', Noguera F. ↓, Iniguez G. ↑,
50', 4 - 0, Aguirre B. ⚽,
51', Gonzalez C. ↓, Gomez Mattar J. ↑,
59', 5 - 0, Blanco L. ⚽, Velasco A. (A),
61', Aguirre B. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
68', Herrera L. ↓, Liberato I. ↑,
70', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
70', Velasco A. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
79', Battaglia R. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Boca Juniors
70.4%

Draw
20.1%

Newells Old Boys
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

25.5%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.59)	4.88 ↑ (3.68)	10.16 ↑ (6.1)	3.3% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4.
Boca Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Newells Old Boys is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Newells Old Boys has had a series of home games.
In this match, Boca Juniors is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Boca Juniors: Carlos Palacios (Injury) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Delgado M. (International duty) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Acuna V. (International duty) Gigena T. (Inactive) Hoyos L. (Knee Injury) Iniguez G. (Muscle Injury) Salcedo S. (Inactive) Sotelo D. (Inactive) Tabares A. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Newells Old Boys?

Boca Juniors has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Newells Old Boys won against Boca Juniors?

Newells Old Boys has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys were as follows:

30.03.2025 Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors 2:0

08.12.2024 Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors 0:1

06.04.2024 Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors 1:3

12.11.2023 Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys 1:0

24.07.2023 Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys 2:1

Latest results of Boca Juniors

27.09.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Boca Juniors - Central Córdoba 2:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Rosario Central - Boca Juniors 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Aldosivi - Boca Juniors 0:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Boca Juniors - Banfield 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Newells Old Boys

30.09.2025 Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1 ✺

22.09.2025 Belgrano - Newells Old Boys 3:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Newells Old Boys - Belgrano 1:3 ✺

12.09.2025 Newells Old Boys - Atlético Tucumán 2:0 ✺

29.08.2025 Newells Old Boys - Barracas Central 1:2 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Clausura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Central Cordoba	13	5	6	2	16:10	6	21
2	Estudiantes L.P	13	6	3	4	15:13	2	21
3	Union de Santa Fe	13	5	5	3	19:13	6	20
4	Defensa y Justicia	13	5	4	4	13:13	0	19
5	Argentinos Jrs	13	5	3	5	15:10	5	18
6	Belgrano	13	4	6	3	13:10	3	18
7	Barracas Central	12	4	6	2	15:13	2	18
8	Tigre	13	4	6	3	13:11	2	18
9	Racing Club	13	5	3	5	14:13	1	18
10	Boca Juniors	12	4	5	3	19:10	9	17
11	Banfield	13	5	2	6	12:18	-6	17
12	Huracan	13	4	4	5	6:11	-5	16
13	Ind. Rivadavia	13	2	6	5	11:14	-3	12
14	Newells Old Boys	13	2	5	6	11:21	-10	11
15	Aldosivi	13	2	3	8	5:15	-10	9

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dep. Riestra	13	8	3	2	18:9	9	27
2	Rosario Central	13	7	6	0	15:6	9	27
3	Lanus	13	8	2	3	15:9	6	26
4	Velez Sarsfield	13	7	4	2	19:9	10	25
5	River Plate	13	6	3	4	20:12	8	21
6	San Lorenzo	13	5	4	4	11:10	1	19
7	San Martin S.J	13	4	5	4	10:11	-1	17
8	Atl. Tucuman	13	4	3	6	14:15	-1	15
9	Sarmiento Junin	13	4	3	6	9:14	-5	15
10	Instituto	13	3	6	4	7:12	-5	15
11	Talleres Cordoba	13	3	5	5	7:12	-5	14
12	Gimnasia L.P	13	4	1	8	8:16	-8	13
13	Platense	13	2	5	6	11:20	-9	11
14	Godoy Cruz	13	1	7	5	9:16	-7	10
15	Independiente	13	1	6	6	9:13	-4	9

Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)