Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys
Result
5:0
05/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
brazilBrazilESPN 4
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.170.11
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
132
Big Chances
80
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
90% (521/577)80% (288/358)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.170.11
xG on target (xGOT)
4.750.10
Total shots
205
Shots on target
132
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
30
Big Chances
80
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
247
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
90% (521/577)80% (288/358)
Long passes
55% (24/44)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
77% (55/71)56% (51/91)
Crosses
35% (6/17)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.13
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
1114
Tackles
84% (16/19)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5442
Clearances
2211
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.104.75
Goals prevented
0.10-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Gimenez M. , Barinaga J. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Gimenez M. ,
  • 31', Montero A. 🟨,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Costa A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Chiaverano G. , Guch F. ,
  • 46', Regiardo L. , Benedetto D. ,
  • 46', Noguera F. , Iniguez G. ,
  • 50', 4 - 0, Aguirre B. ,
  • 51', Gonzalez C. , Gomez Mattar J. ,
  • 59', 5 - 0, Blanco L. , Velasco A. (A),
  • 61', Aguirre B. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 68', Herrera L. , Liberato I. ,
  • 70', Miguel Merentiel , Herrera A. ,
  • 70', Velasco A. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 79', Battaglia R. , Zenon K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
70.4%
Draw
20.1%
Newells Old Boys
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 25.5% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 24.7% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.
  • Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.59)
    4.88
    (3.68)
    10.16
    (6.1)
    3.3%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4.
    • Boca Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Newells Old Boys is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Newells Old Boys has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Carlos Palacios (Injury) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Delgado M. (International duty) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Acuna V. (International duty) Gigena T. (Inactive) Hoyos L. (Knee Injury) Iniguez G. (Muscle Injury) Salcedo S. (Inactive) Sotelo D. (Inactive) Tabares A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors 2:0
    08.12.2024 Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors 0:1
    06.04.2024 Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors 1:3
    12.11.2023 Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys 1:0
    24.07.2023 Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys 2:1
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)