Result
2:2
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 18
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (398/502) | 84% (390/466) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (398/502) | 84% (390/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/72) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (53/104) | 66% (93/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.22 | -1.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 39', 1 - 0, Driscoll-Glennon A. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Whitfield B. ⚽, Canavan N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', 2 - 1, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽, Braybrooke S. (A),
- 65', Fletcher I. ↓, Earing J. ↑,
- 65', Newby E. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
- 68', Spellman M. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
- 68', Hemmings K. ↓, Adu Poku M. ↑,
- 75', Harper R. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 76', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
- 82', Smith S. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 2, Smith S. ⚽, Mahoney C. (A),
Chances of winning
Newport County
38.5% | Draw
27.6% | Barrow
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Newport County - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.6) |
3.41 ↑
(3.4) |
2.74 ↑
(2.51) |
6.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newport County - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Newport (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
- Newport is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barrow's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
Shephard L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith M.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Barrow: Foley S.
(Surgery)
Gordon J.
(Yellow Cards)
Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Smith K.
(Ankle Injury)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Baker M.
(Inactive)
Davies T.
(Inactive)
Odimayo A.
(Injury)
Opoku N.
(Injury)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
Warner J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Barkhuizen T.
(Inactive)
Mahoney C.
(Injury)
Shipley L.
(Concussion)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Newport won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Barrow?
Newport County has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Newport County?
Barrow has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Barrow were as follows:
01.02.2025
Newport County
-
Barrow
1:0
21.09.2024
Barrow
-
Newport County
2:0
23.03.2024
Barrow
-
Newport County
1:0
16.09.2023
Newport County
-
Barrow
1:1
11.02.2023
Barrow
-
Newport County
0:1
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
