Result
3:2
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 45
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (187/288) | 62% (169/273) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (187/288) | 62% (169/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (24/80) | 34% (29/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (71/132) | 52% (53/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (10/38) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 75 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.33 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Kamwa B. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Sutton W. ⚽, Woods R. (A),
- 32', Shephard L. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 35', 1 - 2, Simeu D. ⚽,
- 38', Fondop-Talum M. 🟥,
- 43', Jenkins L. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Davies T. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 2, Lloyd B. ⚽,
- 63', Hudson M. ↓, Donaghy T. ↑,
- 63', Taylor K. ↓, Leake J. ↑,
- 64', Sutton W. ↓, Ogle R. ↑,
- 86', Biggins H. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 87', Spellman M. 🟨,
- 90+14', Ogle R. 🟨,
- 90+15', Kamwa B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+18', Garner J. 🟨,
- 90+18', 3 - 2, Kamwa B. ⚽, Lloyd B. (A),
- 90+20', Kamwa B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newport County
37.9% | Draw
28.4% | Oldham Athletic
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newport County's performance.Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldham Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newport County - Oldham Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(3.08) |
3.25 ↓
(3.32) |
2.78 ↑
(2.22) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport County - Oldham Athletic?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Oldham will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Newport (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
- Recent performances by Newport have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oldham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
Daniels D.
(Inactive)
Mellon M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Baker-Richardson C.
(Inactive)
Thomas J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J.
(Injury)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Newport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Oldham Athletic?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Newport County?
Oldham Athletic has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
22.11.2025
Oldham Athletic
-
Newport County
3:0
04.11.2023
Newport County
-
Oldham Athletic
2:0
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MK Dons ✔ | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 85:44 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Bromley ✔ | 45 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 68:45 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 81 |
| 4 | Salford | 45 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 80 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 45 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 73:51 | 22 | 79 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 45 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 73:49 | 24 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 45 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 69:55 | 14 | 76 |
| 8 | Swindon | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 69:57 | 12 | 75 |
| 9 | Barnet | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 68:52 | 16 | 73 |
| 10 | Crewe | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 57:44 | 13 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 55:53 | 2 | 65 |
| 13 | Colchester | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 58:48 | 10 | 63 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 55:64 | -9 | 61 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 56:57 | -1 | 60 |
| 16 | Accrington | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 53 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 52:75 | -23 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 52:72 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42:68 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 53:78 | -25 | 40 |
| 21 | Newport | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 46:76 | -30 | 40 |
| 22 | Crawley | 45 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 39 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 38:66 | -28 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 45 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 44:76 | -32 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One
