Newport County vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Newport County - Bristol Rovers
Result
2:3
06/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 7
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4, Arena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.862.50
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
62% (161/260)68% (202/298)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.862.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.493.04
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
2821
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
62% (161/260)68% (202/298)
Long passes
39% (32/83)31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
52% (48/92)49% (52/106)
Crosses
26% (5/19)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.97
Throw-ins
2928
Fouls
1615
Tackles
56% (5/9)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4861
Clearances
2339
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
3.041.49
Goals prevented
0.04-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Southam-Hales M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Thomas L. ,
  • 56', Baker M. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Thomas L. ,
  • 64', Baker M. , Opoku N. ,
  • 64', Evans C. , Whitmore K. ,
  • 67', Cavegn F. , Harrison E. ,
  • 68', McEachran J. 🟨,
  • 71', Reindorf M. , Spellman M. ,
  • 72', 0 - 3, Harrison E. , Chang A. (A),
  • 77', Thomas L. , Sotiriou R. ,
  • 78', 1 - 3, Whitmore K. , Opoku N. (A),
  • 82', Southam-Hales M. , Senior J. ,
  • 82', Chang A. , Mola C. ,
  • 86', Braybrooke S. , Antwi C. ,
  • 86', Brennan C. , Garner G. ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Opoku N. ,
  • 90+5', Omochere P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
26.8%
Draw
25.4%
Bristol Rovers
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 25.2% 49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 24.9% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Newport County - Bristol Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (3.7)
    3.65
    (3.73)
    1.97
    (1.9)
    6.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Newport County - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 3.
    • Newport is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bristol Rovers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bristol Rovers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bristol Rovers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Bristol Rovers will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newport won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
    14.11.2023 Newport County - Bristol Rovers 0:1
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League