Newport County vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Newport County - Bristol Rovers
Result
0:1
14/11/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
30.3%
Draw
25.5%
Bristol Rovers
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 26.8% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 27.2% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport County's form might have worsened.
  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newport County - Bristol Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.55)
    3.61
    (3.38)
    2.08
    (2.41)
    8.8%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Newport County - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: Bristol Rovers will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 3.
    • Recent matches Newport is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bristol Rovers is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bristol Rovers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Bristol Rovers will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Newport won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1CharltonLeyton Orient0 : 2
    2BurtonStevenage0 : 4
    3WycombeSwindon1 : 2
    4ExeterBirmingham1 : 2
    5ChesterfieldWigan3 : 2
    6RotherhamTranmere3 : 2
    7BlackpoolAston Villa U211 : 2
    8Stockport CountyBradford City2 : 3
    9PeterboroughNorthampton3 : 0
    10WalsallReading2 : 1
    11CheltenhamCambridge Utd2 : 1
    12ColchesterAFC Wimbledon2 : 0
    13DoncasterPort Vale0 : 1
    14WrexhamCrewe1 : 0
    15MorecambeLincoln0 : 1
    16BoltonHuddersfield3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Leyton OrientStevenage0 : 1
    2SwindonBirmingham1 : 2
    3ChesterfieldRotherham0 : 1
    4Aston Villa U21Bradford City1 : 3
    5PeterboroughWalsall4 : 2
    6CheltenhamColchester2 : 1
    7Port ValeWrexham1 : 4
    8LincolnBolton0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1StevenageBirmingham0 : 1
    2RotherhamBradford City0 : 1
    3PeterboroughCheltenham3 : 2
    4WrexhamBolton1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BirminghamBradford City2 : 1
    2PeterboroughWrexham3 : 2

    Final
    1BirminghamPeterborough0 : 2